TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,794,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,880,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,794,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3080…5f29backed Pacers26c222,958$57,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,371.242369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics75c202,485$151,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,415.542,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Pacers26c159,355$41,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,432.287745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers26c145,792$37,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,380.4151844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Celtics75c50,000$37,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,50038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Pacers1c45,994$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9426637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Celtics74c40,000$29,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.9819048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Pacers25c39,400$10,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,045.9614244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Celtics75c37,871$28,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,467.726358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c3…1fefbacked Pacers39c37,724$14,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,612.351662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Celtics74c34,766$25,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,039.051,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics75c31,132$23,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,835.695,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Celtics74c27,242$20,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,002.4537557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers25c26,500$6,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,619.9747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Celtics74c25,000$18,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,50012147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Pacers25c23,660$5,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,914.9138434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics74c19,658$14,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,153.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pacers25c19,340$4,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,835.1237539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pacers25c16,336$4,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,164.0135235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Pacers26c15,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9008939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers21c14,083$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.851,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Celtics75c13,254$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.5934062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c12,608$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.238820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers13c12,490$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.041,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Pacers38c11,996$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500.199336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Celtics74c11,843$8,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.2622542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers1c10,485$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.851,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.981,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Celtics74c9,500$7,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4707468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9d…9db6backed Celtics75c9,400$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Pacers11c9,120$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Celtics74c8,374$6,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.2171547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers39c8,356$3,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.983,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Celtics77c7,600$5,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75616641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics73c7,259$5,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.941,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics74c7,219$5,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.5244459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed30…f821backed Celtics74c6,757$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers24c6,516$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.44,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4487…1ec1backed Celtics62c6,300$3,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.41729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics80c6,056$4,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.353,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Celtics74c5,937$4,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.691963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Pacers0c5,760$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.57224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Pacers16c5,659$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.6634227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed Celtics70c5,086$3,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.073565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3501,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Celtics74c4,875$3,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.59260.9%56 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe565…6ad6backed Celtics74c4,800$3,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Celtics75c4,768$3,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.822,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Celtics74c4,741$3,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.777957%45 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Celtics74c4,705$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.350653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Celtics75c4,649$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.3120454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Celtics75c4,569$3,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.141752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Pacers25c4,300$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07514945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Celtics74c4,300$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.9913148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Celtics75c4,247$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.7227758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers26c4,100$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0661,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Pacers27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0809042.2%38 W · 52 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x561a…8e0bbacked Celtics74c3,945$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.72263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+72.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Celtics73c3,929$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.7461851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1375…4c69backed Celtics74c3,767$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.5211839.8%47 W · 71 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics73c3,750$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.51,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Celtics75c3,648$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9124961.2%30 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Celtics75c3,556$2,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.953268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pacers30c3,528$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.372,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Celtics75c3,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.2576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Celtics74c3,333$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.5814753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Pacers38c3,319$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.0347542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Celtics76c3,289$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.4776746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pacers13c3,199$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.951,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Celtics64c3,167$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.7327144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc803…b63dbacked Celtics75c3,100$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Pacers26c3,077$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80016130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Celtics68c3,031$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.965369.8%37 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Pacers26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78012843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x697d…985dbacked Pacers25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1f…6623backed Celtics74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7802445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Pacers1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Pacers32c2,813$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.8261939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Celtics72c2,700$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.0320349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Celtics75c2,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6719136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41e4…4e14backed Pacers25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.991560%9 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+115.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2537…62b7backed Celtics75c2,498$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Pacers26c2,449$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Celtics74c2,400$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x829d…61b6backed Pacers9c2,374$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2238428.6%24 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers13c2,337$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.953,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Celtics77c2,333$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.962673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Celtics53c2,251$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.9783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Pacers25c2,222$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.4720352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb50a…f151backed Pacers25c2,200$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+73%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Celtics74c2,123$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.973959%23 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b21…7da2backed Pacers26c2,100$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5461020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x598b…4673backed Pacers13c2,033$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-54.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pacers1c2,032$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.157502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75a…6901backed Celtics75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Celtics74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5209451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Celtics75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.