NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1573aa9355d5af70b14c39024a452db6e113e25780c7bb0c1be25c80c88910ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 7,636$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.04 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 17c | 5,453$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.24 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 3,168$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,132$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Under | 47c | 1,862$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 1,760$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 14c | 1,182$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.91 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 687.51$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 49c | 673.78$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.15 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 398$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.35 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 17c | 312.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 293.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 278$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 262.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 229.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 56c | 203$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 198.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 17c | 190.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 13c | 150.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Under | 15c | 136.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 45c | 135$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 43c | 120.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked Under | 50c | 100.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 46c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 85.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 45c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…2e0cbacked Under | 53c | 80.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 75.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…5e9fbacked Over | 78c | 63.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 61c | 62.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 56.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Over | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 57c | 43.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 43c | 38.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Over | 53c | 37.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Under | 51c | 27.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 78c | 13.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. PacersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.