TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3620…2e6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST3036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Patriots vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 34.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25.93
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$16.72
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Lions (-5.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$33.96
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40.2
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$58.1
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+100%+$40
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$49.82
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$39.98
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+284.6%+$113.85
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+176.5%+$42.37
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+117.4%+$28.26
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.8%+$37.12
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$213.48
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$49.4
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$58.61
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+185.7%+$33.43
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.09
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+67.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Minnesota (-1.5)backed New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$41
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$70.94
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+123.3%+$74.78
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+106.3%+$44.65
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+349.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+349.1%+$181.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.