NFL · resolved market
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8ce9952b624627778f4b469548d9a31abfecab1dd20e575f6572bb2c9f1f6a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,439,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,636,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,439,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Colts | 55c | 493,518$272,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272,534.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed 49ers | 45c | 186,606$83,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,665.25 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked 49ers | 48c | 124,956$59,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,977.25 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Colts | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,999.99 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colts | 50c | 85,391$42,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,738.57 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed 49ers | 47c | 64,705$30,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,401.69 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed 49ers | 52c | 51,050$26,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,609.75 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Colts | 54c | 50,085$27,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,046.06 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed 49ers | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked 49ers | 46c | 45,000$20,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked 49ers | 47c | 44,444$20,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,555.32 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Colts | 52c | 31,125$16,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,184.93 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed 49ers | 47c | 23,000$10,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,159.97 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 49ers | 45c | 21,558$9,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,769.22 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked 49ers | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed 49ers | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked 49ers | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 49ers | 46c | 16,650$7,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,956.66 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed 49ers | 51c | 15,686$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,686.27 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed 49ers | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…0321backed 49ers | 49c | 14,520$7,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,405.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed 49ers | 46c | 13,043$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,043.48 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked 49ers | 44c | 12,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Colts | 53c | 11,888$6,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300.64 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 49ers | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050.01 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Colts | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Colts | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked 49ers | 50c | 10,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049.84 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked 49ers | 45c | 9,928$4,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460.25 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colts | 52c | 9,094$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,754.24 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked 49ers | 45c | 8,994$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.44 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed 49ers | 48c | 8,663$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,504.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Colts | 15c | 7,687$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.3 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked 49ers | 51c | 6,600$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed 49ers | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Colts | 52c | 5,873$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.31 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Colts | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked 49ers | 47c | 4,581$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.94 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Colts | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked 49ers | 49c | 3,900$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…89e4backed Colts | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked 49ers | 45c | 3,621$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.55 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed 49ers | 48c | 3,556$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed 49ers | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 49ers | 45c | 3,065$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.55 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked 49ers | 47c | 3,000$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Colts | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Colts | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Colts | 25c | 2,975$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.77 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf253…2fb8backed Colts | 53c | 2,755$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed 49ers | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Colts | 52c | 2,379$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.96 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Colts | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked 49ers | 46c | 2,050$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed 49ers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Colts | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed 49ers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Colts | 15c | 1,744$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Colts | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Colts | 55c | 1,500$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colts | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed 49ers | 45c | 1,372$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.33 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 49ers | 46c | 1,290$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.68 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked 49ers | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed 49ers | 46c | 1,158$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.32 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…88c0backed 49ers | 47c | 1,142$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked 49ers | 46c | 1,130$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.43 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed 49ers | 47c | 1,057$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed 49ers | 6c | 1,051$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.97 | 54 | 9.3%5 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Colts | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Colts | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…44a3backed Colts | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colts | 49c | 936.92$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.09 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Colts | 55c | 930.91$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Colts | 24c | 926.64$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.84 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed 49ers | 20c | 800$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked 49ers | 50c | 794.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.53 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked 49ers | 8c | 702.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Colts | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed 49ers | 50c | 662$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked 49ers | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed 49ers | 49c | 609.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.55 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked 49ers | 9c | 602.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…9cf5backed 49ers | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Colts | 51c | 574.44$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed 49ers | 21c | 571$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.09 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed 49ers | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed 49ers | 49c | 511$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked 49ers | 47c | 446.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Colts | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked 49ers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed 49ers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed 49ers | 11c | 400$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 8cpaid | +242.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Colts | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed 49ers | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Colts | 52c | 380.41$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked 49ers | 45c | 354.03$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.72 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed 49ers | 48c | 333$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed 49ers | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked 49ers | 44c | 300$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 49ers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)49ers won
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-3.5)49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: 49ers (-4.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-6.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.