NFL · resolved market
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf299374b5504af89064f6f288fe60e200bffaf449260c77626b4122cb2705de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,515,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,657,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,515,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked 49ers | 43c | 1,134,351$487,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646,579.98 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Colts | 57c | 704,368$401,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401,489.95 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Colts | 57c | 409,267$233,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233,316.46 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colts | 55c | 105,006$57,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,855.31 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed 49ers | 44c | 49,675$21,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,906.67 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Colts | 57c | 34,801$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked 49ers | 46c | 25,915$11,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,921.81 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Colts | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked 49ers | 42c | 18,440$7,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,695.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed 49ers | 46c | 14,444$6,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,794.97 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 49ers | 43c | 13,115$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,447.62 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed 49ers | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked 49ers | 44c | 9,169$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,134.64 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 49ers | 59c | 8,102$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.16 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Colts | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.97 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Colts | 58c | 5,700$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed 49ers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed 49ers | 43c | 4,642$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.85 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Colts | 38c | 4,627$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.86 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked 49ers | 42c | 3,740$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 49ers | 65c | 3,397$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.84 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed 49ers | 53c | 3,294$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.45 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked 49ers | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Colts | 58c | 3,000$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Colts | 57c | 2,936$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.61 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked Colts | 58c | 2,680$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…00cdbacked Colts | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked 49ers | 41c | 2,452$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.88 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 49ers | 41c | 2,399$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.33 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Colts | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Colts | 44c | 2,060$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.28 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed 49ers | 43c | 2,035$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.8 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed 49ers | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed 49ers | 42c | 1,853$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.89 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Colts | 52c | 1,825$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.15 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Colts | 56c | 1,790$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…fba4backed Colts | 59c | 1,687$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed 49ers | 45c | 1,477$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.67 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Colts | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Colts | 43c | 1,199$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.48 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Colts | 49c | 1,060$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.64 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Colts | 57c | 1,003$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.71 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Colts | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…89e4backed 49ers | 73c | 964.38$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Colts | 56c | 929.65$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.25 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Colts | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed 49ers | 43c | 808.42$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Colts | 45c | 778.43$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.49 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Colts | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed 49ers | 44c | 666$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 49ers | 42c | 661.33$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.24 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Colts | 54c | 652.17$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.17 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed 49ers | 44c | 564.95$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Colts | 57c | 561.4$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Colts | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked 49ers | 68c | 506$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Colts | 49c | 494$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.06 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Colts | 58c | 474.14$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Colts | 54c | 444.44$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed 49ers | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Colts | 55c | 439$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.28 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked 49ers | 43c | 425.58$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.58 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked 49ers | 60c | 404.66$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed 49ers | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Colts | 40c | 399.97$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.89 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed 49ers | 73c | 393$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…e115backed 49ers | 45c | 367.21$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed 49ers | 42c | 367$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.86 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Colts | 53c | 366.41$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed 49ers | 44c | 358$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed 49ers | 56c | 355.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.94 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked 49ers | 48c | 350$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked 49ers | 43c | 350$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Colts | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked 49ers | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Colts | 58c | 334.66$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Colts | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Colts | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Colts | 50c | 290.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed Colts | 60c | 288.9$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…edf8backed 49ers | 62c | 285.48$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 49ers | 44c | 281.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Colts | 56c | 268.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Colts | 18c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked 49ers | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Colts | 58c | 238$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e7…9a03backed 49ers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…a42bbacked 49ers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Colts | 56c | 227.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…fcfabacked 49ers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed 49ers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed 49ers | 75c | 215$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Colts | 54c | 202.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed 49ers | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Colts | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked 49ers | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed 49ers | 51c | 196.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…3968backed Colts | 55c | 188.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Colts | 31c | 187.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed 49ers | 57c | 177.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 49ers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)49ers won
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-3.5)49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: 49ers (-4.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-5.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.