NFL · resolved market
1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdfeeea8a6968f393a14e033760f6cf013a4fde527a94ea54e836be6ff8d169e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed 49ers | 55c | 5,636$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.52 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colts | 44c | 4,802$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.52 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Colts | 44c | 2,209$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Colts | 43c | 1,137$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.84 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed 49ers | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed 49ers | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed 49ers | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked 49ers | 53c | 414.55$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.55 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed 49ers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Colts | 45c | 360.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.62 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colts | 48c | 340$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…9ce4backed 49ers | 55c | 318.18$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Colts | 45c | 296$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Colts | 43c | 237$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed 49ers | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Colts | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Colts | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Colts | 42c | 166.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked 49ers | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked 49ers | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Colts | 43c | 123$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colts | 43c | 121.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Colts | 45c | 113.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Colts | 43c | 112$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Colts | 44c | 111$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Colts | 43c | 101$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Colts | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Colts | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked 49ers | 57c | 73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed 49ers | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked 49ers | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Colts | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b00…ee55backed 49ers | 58c | 65.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed 49ers | 54c | 61.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked 49ers | 56c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Colts | 43c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Colts | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked 49ers | 57c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Colts | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Colts | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked 49ers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Colts | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked 49ers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Colts | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked 49ers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked 49ers | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Colts | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed 49ers | 57c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Colts | 44c | 45.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed 49ers | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed 49ers | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked 49ers | 57c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Colts | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…7976backed 49ers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Colts | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed 49ers | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed 49ers | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed 49ers | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed 49ers | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked 49ers | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed 49ers | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed 49ers | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked 49ers | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed 49ers | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed 49ers | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed 49ers | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked 49ers | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed 49ers | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed 49ers | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed 49ers | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed 49ers | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed 49ers | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked 49ers | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed 49ers | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed 49ers | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed 49ers | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed 49ers | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked 49ers | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed 49ers | 54c | 21.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed 49ers | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed 49ers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed 49ers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed 49ers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed 49ers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed 49ers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed 49ers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked 49ers | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed 49ers | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked 49ers | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…69a8backed 49ers | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed 49ers | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-3.5)49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: 49ers (-4.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-5.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-6.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.