NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Colts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb54ac8652e65ab1312a33cf96a45204c56b879e20e9f24a09f0309eacf52950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,796,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,992,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,796,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 974 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Colts | 32c | 426,938$136,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,919.25 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed 49ers | 68c | 310,000$210,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Colts | 27c | 306,007$82,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,573.53 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Colts | 33c | 233,903$77,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,618.92 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked 49ers | 67c | 135,476$90,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,707.02 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colts | 26c | 108,989$27,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,795.05 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed 49ers | 66c | 106,073$70,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,559.53 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed 49ers | 79c | 99,123$78,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,445.53 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Colts | 34c | 96,288$32,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,737.93 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed 49ers | 66c | 90,000$59,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,599.99 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…bbccbacked Colts | 6c | 89,279$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked 49ers | 80c | 81,755$65,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,628.8 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Colts | 30c | 80,999$24,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,299.72 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Colts | 31c | 79,675$25,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,026 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Colts | 11c | 75,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed 49ers | 68c | 70,000$47,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,400 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Colts | 33c | 67,398$22,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,241.18 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked 49ers | 77c | 65,243$50,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,733.47 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked 49ers | 78c | 60,261$47,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,061.68 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Colts | 32c | 57,300$18,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,336.08 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed 49ers | 66c | 54,066$35,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,175.22 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked 49ers | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Colts | 33c | 45,455$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked 49ers | 69c | 45,223$31,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,839.61 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked 49ers | 68c | 44,843$30,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,380.8 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed 49ers | 67c | 37,313$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,313.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Colts | 32c | 32,694$10,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,577.58 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Colts | 18c | 32,242$5,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,732.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Colts | 33c | 30,171$9,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,892.07 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Colts | 24c | 30,118$7,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,185.94 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Colts | 4c | 29,900$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Colts | 34c | 29,412$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Colts | 6c | 26,429$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.22 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed 49ers | 68c | 25,961$17,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,184.71 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 49ers | 67c | 23,520$15,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,821.21 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked 49ers | 76c | 20,475$15,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 49ers | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…d4bfbacked 49ers | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked 49ers | 68c | 20,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed 49ers | 68c | 19,725$13,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,403.78 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed 49ers | 69c | 19,723$13,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,114.19 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed 49ers | 68c | 17,652$12,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,648.72 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Colts | 19c | 17,541$3,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.01 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 49ers | 67c | 17,340$11,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,728.67 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed 49ers | 67c | 16,418$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,417.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Colts | 0c | 16,120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed 49ers | 67c | 16,000$10,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Colts | 34c | 15,290$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.42 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed 49ers | 76c | 15,059$11,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.72 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed 49ers | 67c | 14,929$10,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,926.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…1a24backed Colts | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +73%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked 49ers | 69c | 14,028$9,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.78 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…6cccbacked Colts | 12c | 13,404$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed 49ers | 70c | 12,314$8,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.28 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colts | 23c | 11,740$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.23 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked 49ers | 68c | 11,660$7,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed 49ers | 67c | 11,366$7,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.3 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Colts | 30c | 11,025$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.37 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Colts | 13c | 10,936$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.09 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed 49ers | 66c | 10,890$7,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.65 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed 49ers | 58c | 10,396$6,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.97 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed 49ers | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked 49ers | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed 49ers | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Colts | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 49ers | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.98 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked Colts | 17c | 9,953$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.27 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f73…f55dbacked 49ers | 59c | 8,508$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colts | 19c | 8,215$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.46 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Colts | 31c | 8,202$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Colts | 34c | 8,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked 49ers | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.94 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Colts | 34c | 7,349$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.74 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed 49ers | 66c | 7,117$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Colts | 20c | 6,737$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed 49ers | 68c | 6,410$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.2 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colts | 35c | 6,352$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.7 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Colts | 16c | 6,218$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colts | 24c | 5,967$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.23 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed 49ers | 67c | 5,932$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.25 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed 49ers | 69c | 5,836$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.3 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…9b59backed Colts | 14c | 5,724$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…493abacked 49ers | 76c | 5,540$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Colts | 11c | 5,336$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.51 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colts | 2c | 5,120$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.59 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed 49ers | 78c | 5,114$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.15 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Colts | 1c | 5,082$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Colts | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked 49ers | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked 49ers | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 49ers | 80c | 4,981$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.27 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked 49ers | 67c | 4,760$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.72 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5b…029cbacked Colts | 21c | 4,759$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Colts | 23c | 4,750$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed 49ers | 68c | 4,706$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.88 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed 49ers | 69c | 4,180$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.21 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed 49ers | 67c | 4,030$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.85 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…a3b4backed 49ers | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…f0a6backed Colts | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed 49ers | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 49ers vs. Coltsthis page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)49ers won
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-3.5)49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: 49ers (-4.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-5.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-6.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.