NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x261b7b1209baa1acb0c51375c7ffb9a2cd1c37c50b75c2b7ee23b5c9d310d951
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $437,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 50c | 120,000$60,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,500 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 100,016$49,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,977.87 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Under | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.99 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Over | 49c | 44,444$21,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,666.41 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.97 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 51c | 38,774$19,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,999.12 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 49c | 37,630$18,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,438.67 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 33,729$16,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,562.67 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Under | 51c | 33,004$16,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,832 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 50c | 26,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…27a7backed Over | 49c | 24,910$12,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,704.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Over | 49c | 23,000$11,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,730 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 50c | 20,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 19,960$10,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,179.6 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Under | 51c | 19,474$9,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,931.5 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Over | 51c | 19,400$9,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,506 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…d4bfbacked Under | 50c | 17,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 49c | 12,205$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,224.55 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Under | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Over | 49c | 10,008$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Under | 50c | 8,000$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 6,633$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.5 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Under | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.17 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.17 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 3,201$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.49 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked Under | 49c | 2,750$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 51c | 2,350$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.28 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Over | 51c | 1,965$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 50c | 1,952$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,926$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.22 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 51c | 1,510$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.75 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,500$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…fb08backed Under | 51c | 1,140$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.19 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Under | 50c | 922$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Under | 49c | 825$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Under | 50c | 746$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Under | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…0908backed Under | 51c | 587.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Over | 51c | 536.22$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.13 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 49c | 529.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.29 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 464$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.54 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…9b53backed Over | 51c | 318.2$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 51c | 316.04$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 295$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 51c | 213.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Under | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 50c | 200.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebe…4ee4backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…270dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…ce33backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…245dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Under | 50c | 195$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5this page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)49ers won
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-3.5)49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- 49ers vs. Colts: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Spread: 49ers (-4.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-5.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-6.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.