TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a7c…357d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst World Politics at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick31cpaid+80.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.69
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$665.43
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$29.23
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+621%+$88.33
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$62.91
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$157.09
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$49.21
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.44
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$68.8
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$93.52
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$404.62
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,169.96
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13,040Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+48.1%+$6,274.15
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$5,405.1
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67,658Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$67,658.01
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+122.5%+$612.56
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15,514Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+32%+$4,961.79
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34,630Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+81.7%+$28,292.07
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+334.8%+$334.78
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+135.1%+$745.55
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$4,008.34
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,429Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+27.4%+$1,487.95
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$9,363Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.1%+$6,754.41
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+164.8%+$2,802.13
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,223Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+29%+$354.68
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+312.9%+$1,564.55
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,522Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$493.79
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,674Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$901.15
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$624.16
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$7,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,345.21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,226.74
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,693Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+50%+$2,344.64
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,448Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+110.8%+$3,821.93
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,311Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+231.8%+$9,993.85
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$1,941.18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$410
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 15 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,517Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,542.79
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56,409Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+121.8%+$68,698.28
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+353.1%+$11,363.63
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,337Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+89.7%+$2,096.21
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41,953.04
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$261
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,100
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+125.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.34
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$76.16
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$194.87
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$157.09
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$215.11
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$217.3
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.44
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20,181Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+50.4%+$10,172.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$641.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.