Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86442b3a3269c67960d2cbb5f83246567c8ff2992c0562a98058140854223a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,931,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,297,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,931,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2b8…77bfbacked No | 0c | 104,955$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…9728backed No | 42c | 103,957$43,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,638.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1665…e651backed No | 0c | 84,442$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe884…314fbacked No | 0c | 52,611$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…0963backed No | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 49c | 30,532$15,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,452.21 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Yes | 66c | 30,354$20,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,172.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14c…6017backed No | 0c | 26,222$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…092ebacked No | 0c | 25,130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3767…7dcebacked No | 0c | 25,007$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05fb…71a6backed No | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 41c | 20,368$8,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,954.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Yes | 44c | 20,115$8,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,273.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb70…580dbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9373…9014backed No | 4c | 19,336$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 30c | 17,614$5,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,341.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027f…839abacked No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…96ecbacked No | 1c | 13,080$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…87b5backed No | 0c | 12,517$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…9594backed No | 0c | 12,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…722abacked Yes | 44c | 12,220$5,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,875.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a9…ec28backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…53fbbacked No | 0c | 10,961$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…d9e9backed No | 0c | 10,877$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd8…8de1backed No | 0c | 10,806$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 3c | 10,589$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.09 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…4e96backed No | 0c | 10,240$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa92…5899backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…7508backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…1a08backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…21eebacked No | 0c | 9,793$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 9,453$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.02 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…5f13backed Yes | 37c | 9,242$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 30c | 8,290$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.09 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 10c | 8,218$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.84 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…8ecdbacked No | 0c | 8,047$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 67c | 7,313$4,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,893.35 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…920ebacked Yes | 38c | 7,024$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked No | 75c | 6,144$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…deb6backed No | 62c | 5,875$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…dbeabacked No | 1c | 5,556$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b01…a8cabacked No | 0c | 5,502$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed No | 3c | 5,489$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 30c | 5,380$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.24 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…28f9backed Yes | 33c | 5,023$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed No | 0c | 5,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…aef6backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 3c | 5,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 19c | 4,823$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.9 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…c70dbacked No | 8c | 4,724$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…af58backed No | 60c | 4,132$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked No | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…ff68backed Yes | 38c | 3,940$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 6c | 3,862$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.56 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 73c | 3,655$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed Yes | 42c | 3,546$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 54c | 3,515$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…06a2backed No | 1c | 3,481$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 1c | 3,428$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 40c | 3,344$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.34 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 3,183$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.19 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed No | 4c | 3,169$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…38f6backed No | 1c | 3,152$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 34c | 3,032$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.13 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57b…32ddbacked No | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.86 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 2c | 2,917$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked No | 2c | 2,809$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3727…0b44backed No | 4c | 2,747$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 12c | 2,339$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.43 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…b3f9backed No | 63c | 2,284$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 54c | 2,268$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked No | 6c | 2,241$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc7…0a2bbacked No | 7c | 2,227$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…5670backed Yes | 28c | 2,211$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 43c | 2,090$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.98 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…40f7backed Yes | 33c | 2,074$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked No | 2c | 2,067$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 2c | 2,056$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…231bbacked No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 43c | 2,000$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.51 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 73c | 1,925$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.5 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,904$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.05 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed No | 6c | 1,900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16c…910bbacked No | 5c | 1,781$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,758$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.66 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 1c | 1,650$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +180.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…ce8fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,630$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +226.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 37c | 1,626$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.3 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x925b…640ebacked No | 2c | 1,623$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 31c | 1,620$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.42 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…3d88backed No | 27c | 1,567$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Yes | 55c | 1,560$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ed…1db7backed No | 2c | 1,545$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 21c | 1,522$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.62 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 50c | 1,501$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked No | 6c | 1,500$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.