TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9373…9014

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 52 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT224.5%1 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-88%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60.8
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.1
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1B and $1.2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$247.99
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.46
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$150.5
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.3
All 22 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.87
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.18
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$260.33
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-75.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.9%+$38.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.