Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2851fb8720ad0ac44bcf4b7c74bba966f72f5da36190ddbe6cb867b6a92fd35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,622,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,556,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,622,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked No | 72c | 148,049$106,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,033.99 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 79c | 113,436$89,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,452.18 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 66c | 113,114$74,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,983.57 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 110,539$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.59 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 3c | 90,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 1c | 82,252$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.93 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2007…e485backed Yes | 2c | 78,317$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…023bbacked Yes | 17c | 69,078$11,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,572 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 4c | 67,459$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.88 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes | 1c | 61,359$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 16c | 60,158$9,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,371.97 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 52,615$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 51,838$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 3c | 50,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 2c | 49,399$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.29 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 5c | 46,200$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.09 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538c…b902backed Yes | 0c | 46,175$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 5c | 45,946$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.47 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…7aa6backed Yes | 5c | 42,189$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…acacbacked Yes | 6c | 42,033$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…b7a6backed Yes | 1c | 40,975$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 1c | 37,603$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.55 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…de4abacked Yes | 2c | 36,966$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 29c | 34,157$9,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,997 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 32,946$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…d01bbacked Yes | 6c | 32,599$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 72c | 31,175$22,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,704.33 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a46…40fbbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…29aebacked Yes | 3c | 29,008$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a8…8c31backed Yes | 25c | 29,000$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,249.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…dfeabacked Yes | 9c | 28,187$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 20c | 28,082$5,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485.02 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…de59backed No | 29c | 27,855$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,855.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +372.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…b13ebacked Yes | 34c | 27,852$9,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,592.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa138…a55fbacked Yes | 7c | 27,225$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d1…bc55backed Yes | 43c | 26,633$11,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,366.67 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 1c | 25,737$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…5b2bbacked Yes | 0c | 24,664$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 0c | 23,000$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…38bebacked Yes | 1c | 21,831$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 21,686$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7570…1e0abacked Yes | 41c | 21,483$8,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,824.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…edecbacked Yes | 1c | 19,989$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 69c | 19,488$13,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,072.42 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 5c | 18,498$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…81c0backed Yes | 12c | 17,839$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 24c | 17,818$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.6 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499d…65ecbacked Yes | 1c | 17,333$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…33e1backed Yes | 1c | 16,636$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 1c | 16,572$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.77 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…37b1backed Yes | 1c | 16,256$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…9829backed Yes | 38c | 15,782$5,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2653…e26abacked Yes | 35c | 14,182$4,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…5f69backed No | 58c | 13,753$7,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,828.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 1c | 13,747$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 42c | 13,631$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 5c | 13,504$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.82 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 13,258$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.53 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…438dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,051$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…2759backed Yes | 4c | 12,984$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…14bebacked Yes | 13c | 12,900$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…42aabacked Yes | 2c | 12,432$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…caaebacked Yes | 16c | 12,261$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…a577backed Yes | 2c | 12,107$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed No | 69c | 11,520$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a78…b918backed Yes | 19c | 11,222$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 62c | 11,136$6,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.63 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…43a7backed Yes | 2c | 10,727$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 63c | 10,726$6,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.78 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…9a4bbacked No | 79c | 10,497$8,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 4c | 10,368$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.03 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…c734backed Yes | 2c | 10,358$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.72 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bde…33d3backed Yes | 3c | 10,356$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 51c | 10,001$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,934.18 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9373…9014backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.33 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…8bf7backed Yes | 17c | 9,948$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…1e47backed Yes | 74c | 9,698$7,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,161.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Yes | 34c | 9,561$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 9,509$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bc0backed Yes | 1c | 9,451$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…d0c1backed Yes | 1c | 9,440$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc9…2a9abacked Yes | 55c | 9,313$5,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,086.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…f0e0backed Yes | 11c | 9,112$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes | 6c | 9,075$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.55 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 15c | 8,472$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.6 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…09c7backed Yes | 1c | 8,143$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes | 23c | 8,135$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 9c | 8,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b5…7ec8backed Yes | 29c | 8,000$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ddecbacked Yes | 10c | 7,736$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.36 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 2c | 7,332$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…da85backed No | 78c | 7,173$5,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.29 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…cc07backed Yes | 26c | 7,100$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…db07backed Yes | 71c | 7,035$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7b…cd8bbacked Yes | 28c | 6,999$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Yes | 44c | 6,747$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5f…4fe7backed Yes | 0c | 6,736$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…4874backed Yes | 0c | 6,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…3260backed No | 76c | 6,574$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.77 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…b7ecbacked Yes | 3c | 6,500$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.