Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d884539571f848c16abc91c49dbae8a428714f0a57bcc29bd557707d9dd0b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,661,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,647,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,661,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 870 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 44c | 178,617$79,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,274.54 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…f1eabacked No | 37c | 127,329$46,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,774.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 49c | 122,788$59,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,116.76 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 48c | 94,389$45,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,295.19 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked No | 76c | 78,597$59,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,538.81 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 35c | 73,798$25,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,838.27 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 74c | 70,016$52,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,158.95 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…19d8backed Yes | 19c | 62,258$11,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,425.03 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 25c | 60,146$14,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,387.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 46c | 37,252$17,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,974.49 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed No | 51c | 36,826$18,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,765.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 41c | 34,090$13,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,280.25 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…6ee8backed Yes | 25c | 31,409$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,709.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…af0fbacked Yes | 60c | 29,506$17,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,918.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…b09bbacked Yes | 53c | 27,991$14,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 53c | 25,221$13,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,851.57 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 12c | 22,073$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 34c | 20,575$7,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,495.19 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e7…3bddbacked Yes | 58c | 20,437$11,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,632.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 22c | 19,506$4,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,193.11 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 53c | 17,783$9,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,275.08 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 20c | 16,514$3,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,176.88 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…64a7backed Yes | 11c | 16,395$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,616.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +242.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 67c | 16,101$10,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,764.7 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 79c | 15,500$12,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,255 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…9f2abacked No | 31c | 14,774$4,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,553.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…9732backed No | 69c | 14,500$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 45c | 14,301$6,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,382.89 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 64c | 13,559$8,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.51 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…2a28backed Yes | 24c | 12,499$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,502.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 65c | 12,346$7,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,976.72 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9a72backed No | 76c | 11,827$8,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,949.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 13c | 11,779$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,279.48 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 49c | 11,019$5,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,587.09 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…29cbbacked No | 55c | 10,731$5,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,932.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 65c | 10,505$6,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.8 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa86…2e0dbacked Yes | 48c | 10,403$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,407.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0c…1e5dbacked Yes | 19c | 10,400$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,407.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d4…92f5backed Yes | 19c | 9,500$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,709.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1005…a843backed Yes | 45c | 9,111$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,991.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Yes | 50c | 8,964$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Yes | 26c | 8,943$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,578.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…8befbacked Yes | 32c | 8,049$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,441.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked No | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aea…dcfebacked No | 12c | 7,812$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b5…1407backed No | 67c | 7,531$5,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce94…a3d6backed No | 0c | 7,230$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed No | 71c | 7,051$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 35c | 7,050$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.66 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…a72abacked Yes | 22c | 6,553$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,106.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 78c | 6,500$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,064.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 21c | 6,441$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,106.64 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 39c | 6,343$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.76 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…b278backed No | 19c | 6,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 11c | 5,523$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,891 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +110%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed No | 75c | 5,329$4,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 52c | 5,285$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.87 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 66c | 5,258$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked No | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…6ea6backed Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Yes | 29c | 4,839$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 35c | 4,837$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.63 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 37c | 4,786$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.9 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…492dbacked No | 44c | 4,476$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 22c | 4,472$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ddecbacked No | 46c | 4,354$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Yes | 49c | 4,329$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 30c | 4,314$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.74 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…3eb0backed Yes | 41c | 4,300$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 46c | 4,210$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.92 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…fa31backed Yes | 24c | 4,175$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6812…6646backed Yes | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +256.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…ab27backed Yes | 55c | 4,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…dcd1backed Yes | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…6667backed No | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 42c | 3,846$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.55 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -8.6wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…56a3backed No | 71c | 3,750$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 30c | 3,731$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.21 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…ac0abacked No | 67c | 3,715$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.06 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 9c | 3,616$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.19 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 13c | 3,600$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.93 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yes | 19c | 3,401$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.44 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…05aabacked Yes | 28c | 3,400$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…eeaabacked No | 80c | 3,394$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 19c | 3,297$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.06 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…a499backed Yes | 71c | 3,279$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.65 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…305bbacked No | 39c | 3,200$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…9585backed Yes | 47c | 3,200$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 37c | 3,175$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.48 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…2cd0backed No | 76c | 3,158$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e4…b365backed No | 44c | 3,060$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…b5a9backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…ad56backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…de4fbacked No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…96babacked Yes | 10c | 2,918$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.67 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ca…a461backed Yes | 42c | 2,887$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.2 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 76c | 2,850$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.28 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -11.2wins | -0.35per pick | 72cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Yes | 43c | 2,820$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.