Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aff0e3807e6c5950138969d5abc115144e746124f7110b45968c79e57d313fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $641,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $724,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $641,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 65c | 50,831$32,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,018.28 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 66c | 30,211$20,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,180.94 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 67c | 24,525$16,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,177.42 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…8ab4backed No | 57c | 22,690$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 7c | 22,143$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…082bbacked No | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked No | 65c | 21,000$13,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,699.93 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf893…cc40backed No | 4c | 17,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 76c | 16,335$12,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.14 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 18c | 13,610$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.6 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…1540backed No | 67c | 13,372$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed No | 15c | 11,894$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 37c | 10,917$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,917.06 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6e…6429backed No | 12c | 10,282$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked Yes | 46c | 9,144$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.03 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…413ebacked No | 66c | 9,021$5,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,953.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 48c | 7,935$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.7 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…7005backed Yes | 33c | 7,575$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.19 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +6.9wins | +0.50per pick | 29cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 37c | 7,000$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +110%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 67c | 6,951$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.05 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bd…4c30backed No | 6c | 6,880$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…c7efbacked No | 14c | 6,800$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked No | 50c | 6,000$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 16c | 5,657$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 78c | 5,339$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.36 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…cbf5backed Yes | 49c | 5,023$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…7f98backed No | 46c | 5,000$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.97 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec9…1018backed No | 5c | 4,685$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3583backed No | 38c | 4,500$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 58c | 4,255$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.2 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x901c…2d73backed Yes | 52c | 3,585$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 22c | 3,528$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.1 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…d618backed Yes | 59c | 3,398$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 19c | 3,390$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…c06fbacked No | 9c | 3,159$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 25c | 3,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 15c | 2,999$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.06 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…f1eabacked No | 8c | 2,978$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed No | 6c | 2,700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 44c | 2,685$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.08 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff3d…92f3backed Yes | 38c | 2,620$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…dcd1backed No | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 2,453$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.27 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4f…7f8bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,400$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…3320backed No | 10c | 2,398$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 23c | 2,365$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.02 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f22…41c6backed No | 27c | 2,186$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…2dffbacked No | 54c | 2,151$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 70c | 2,132$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.39 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a82…30aebacked Yes | 66c | 2,103$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ed1fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.41 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…e94abacked Yes | 51c | 1,978$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…8835backed Yes | 37c | 1,904$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.02 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 39cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 42c | 1,900$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 62c | 1,800$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…eb87backed No | 64c | 1,672$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f5…e4dabacked No | 30c | 1,664$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked No | 11c | 1,614$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 38c | 1,613$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.9 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,604$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 70c | 1,555$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.52 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked No | 67c | 1,548$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.9wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 43c | 1,505$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.51 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…74dabacked No | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 6c | 1,434$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…62b1backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…48a4backed No | 9c | 1,333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…924bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,300$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3f57backed No | 42c | 1,300$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…5578backed Yes | 71c | 1,283$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a5…55e9backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed Yes | 50c | 1,200$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x174b…0332backed No | 67c | 1,186$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…fbdebacked No | 15c | 1,176$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…ce44backed No | 7c | 1,161$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed No | 19c | 1,142$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.1 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…a0b9backed No | 54c | 1,045$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…0910backed No | 1c | 1,039$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…c1ecbacked Yes | 48c | 1,034$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…8304backed No | 19c | 1,010$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.62 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked No | 16c | 1,010$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Yes | 50c | 1,009$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.11 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…9017backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…cb81backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…ad56backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…994fbacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…8c46backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…ca64backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +124%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked No | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…f486backed No | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed No | 5c | 981.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa92…0d27backed No | 41c | 980.27$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.9 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8107…98d0backed No | 8c | 962.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…7889backed No | 12c | 933.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.