Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41c94c25593a436044277d238305c6535f3b1aa41a738f83290c12f0cbe27709
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a5…8ce6backed No | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -76%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 78c | 16,537$12,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.79 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…1540backed Yes | 67c | 13,372$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,471.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed No | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…1e47backed Yes | 67c | 9,611$6,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 14c | 8,100$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.77 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…8ab4backed No | 30c | 6,697$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…5d1cbacked No | 0c | 6,097$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9b…a94abacked No | 13c | 6,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f91…f529backed No | 13c | 5,732$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…1adfbacked No | 0c | 5,025$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 75c | 5,000$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 28c | 4,914$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.29 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed No | 6c | 4,200$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…823cbacked No | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 75c | 3,661$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.06 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 11c | 3,400$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…a0b9backed No | 15c | 3,301$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…a96ebacked No | 37c | 2,666$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…e475backed No | 10c | 2,269$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 11c | 2,200$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…ad56backed No | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…ce57backed No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 21c | 1,999$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.88 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…2d13backed No | 1c | 1,955$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 17c | 1,935$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.57 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 39c | 1,638$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.72 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 8c | 1,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 1,460$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.03 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…7bf0backed No | 35c | 1,286$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.1 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…85a8backed Yes | 65c | 1,286$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 18c | 1,229$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed No | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 6c | 1,177$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 18c | 1,098$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.03 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fe…71e4backed No | 21c | 949.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7859…2bfabacked Yes | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 66c | 888$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 72c | 824.98$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.74 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed No | 12c | 771.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed No | 23c | 700$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…48a4backed No | 20c | 666$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked No | 36c | 649.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.49 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 647$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…831ebacked Yes | 60c | 600$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…f0b2backed No | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…2f27backed Yes | 63c | 583.76$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…52d1backed Yes | 63c | 539.81$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 73c | 539.2$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x722b…c68bbacked Yes | 62c | 521.29$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…cc07backed Yes | 63c | 499.9$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ab…97b6backed Yes | 63c | 427.89$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…f3c7backed Yes | 63c | 410.68$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…f6eebacked Yes | 62c | 409.65$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked No | 10c | 389.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa7…e0afbacked Yes | 68c | 373$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…5fc4backed Yes | 67c | 370$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked Yes | 63c | 361.86$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…529dbacked No | 15c | 340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c5…5dccbacked Yes | 62c | 338.69$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…202fbacked Yes | 60c | 333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 31cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…d6b9backed No | 14c | 324.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…1da2backed Yes | 70c | 324.18$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…157fbacked No | 30c | 323.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 23c | 306$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 23c | 305$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…c59dbacked No | 18c | 290.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…f4cbbacked Yes | 62c | 269.31$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed Yes | 78c | 266.66$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…cb81backed Yes | 62c | 257.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 29c | 256.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…fa2abacked No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd4…98c5backed No | 36c | 231$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 9c | 223.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b5…8912backed No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 8c | 222$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf552…3455backed No | 19c | 209.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…cddbbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…c255backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 31c | 199.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…e0d9backed No | 13c | 187.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked No | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2aa…e9e4backed No | 37c | 156.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…424ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…a5a9backed No | 35c | 151.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 62c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c4…3d0fbacked No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…d527backed No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee5…4dfebacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed No | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…0b56backed No | 21c | 119.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe55…9c84backed Yes | 62c | 117.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.