Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9bf630d1759ddd20bac24396935a006df8a41f96beb647fbab89467c668ff83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,927,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,818,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,927,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 57,240$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 50,608$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.27 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 2c | 49,574$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.86 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 46,866$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.65 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 7c | 45,000$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.63 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 3c | 41,895$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.9 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 2c | 37,047$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.25 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes | 7c | 34,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.99 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 8c | 32,593$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.21 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 32,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 30,193$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 6c | 23,970$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.48 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 1c | 20,501$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.95 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 2c | 17,978$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 8c | 17,469$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.55 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…dfeabacked Yes | 9c | 16,670$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes | 2c | 15,431$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.57 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…033bbacked Yes | 6c | 15,018$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…50d6backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 3c | 13,568$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.2 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Yes | 5c | 13,201$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 1c | 12,315$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…137bbacked Yes | 17c | 11,765$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6824…f6e6backed Yes | 10c | 11,391$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.02 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…caaebacked Yes | 9c | 11,120$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 2c | 11,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6583…9b6bbacked Yes | 3c | 10,351$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 10,214$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.62 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 14c | 10,011$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.57 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…543ebacked Yes | 4c | 9,347$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…3f78backed Yes | 11c | 9,250$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…293ebacked Yes | 11c | 9,183$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…96babacked Yes | 2c | 8,975$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…3ad5backed Yes | 6c | 8,422$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 5c | 7,807$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.17 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 6c | 7,686$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.18 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…c8d2backed Yes | 3c | 7,394$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 6c | 7,300$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.8 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 10c | 6,283$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.15 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…8bf7backed Yes | 11c | 5,811$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.47 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 5c | 5,588$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.7 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 8c | 5,510$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.67 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…7590backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…c08dbacked Yes | 7c | 5,302$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 7c | 5,265$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 8c | 5,163$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.05 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…bfacbacked Yes | 2c | 5,034$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf9…1e27backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 2c | 4,790$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes | 11c | 4,592$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…6389backed Yes | 3c | 4,146$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f3…ae51backed Yes | 15c | 3,946$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.86 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…33e1backed Yes | 3c | 3,754$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 7c | 3,581$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.49 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…09c7backed Yes | 1c | 3,485$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 10c | 3,465$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.49 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…ded9backed Yes | 2c | 3,274$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 76c | 3,210$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.7 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 3c | 3,133$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…ee19backed Yes | 2c | 3,125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,071$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,924$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…4ac2backed Yes | 3c | 2,919$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 6c | 2,898$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes | 6c | 2,783$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…e979backed Yes | 6c | 2,697$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…b404backed Yes | 9c | 2,237$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f7…6607backed Yes | 26c | 2,193$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed No | 75c | 2,099$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…8304backed Yes | 12c | 2,045$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.29 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x341a…9874backed Yes | 1c | 2,034$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…9fb0backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…69b0backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…69dfbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…49c3backed Yes | 25c | 1,988$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…1d4abacked Yes | 9c | 1,956$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd58…5980backed Yes | 26c | 1,914$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…75d1backed Yes | 26c | 1,855$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…8a4ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,851$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…4ed0backed Yes | 4c | 1,832$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f566backed Yes | 2c | 1,682$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +105%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…98f7backed Yes | 8c | 1,625$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Yes | 7c | 1,600$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…c6ccbacked Yes | 7c | 1,592$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a2…7967backed Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed No | 77c | 1,500$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31e…e625backed Yes | 5c | 1,342$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,320$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,310$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…6292backed Yes | 1c | 1,299$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,293$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.07 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…d980backed Yes | 8c | 1,271$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,266$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.