TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d9d…e979

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT8016.3%13 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$63.32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$26.53
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+1,316.7%+$205.25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3917.9%7 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.22
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.52
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$137.97
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$44.55
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+165.1%+$67.39
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$53.18
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$56.94
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110.27
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.38
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.45
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+71.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.