UFC · resolved market
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b6241dd99e0c413a98438062a5c1063cd88a31605a2c4dcaf0fddc87f5ba612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 80c | 152,032$121,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,652.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Yes | 20c | 140,174$28,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,034.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 20c | 16,396$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed No | 79c | 13,197$10,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 78c | 11,284$8,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.93 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed No | 80c | 6,178$4,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.54 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…1916backed Yes | 27c | 5,453$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…d325backed Yes | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d2…f5a7backed Yes | 21c | 4,757$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…d6e7backed Yes | 24c | 4,087$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked No | 79c | 3,613$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.12 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…5b9cbacked Yes | 18c | 3,250$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe853…75a8backed No | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 80c | 2,852$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.42 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…edd5backed Yes | 19c | 2,535$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 24c | 2,119$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…9625backed Yes | 19c | 2,088$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked No | 79c | 1,889$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 21c | 1,781$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.54 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 67c | 1,758$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.68 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…5cd8backed Yes | 22c | 1,532$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 21c | 1,176$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…16dabacked Yes | 19c | 1,158$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…e4b0backed Yes | 20c | 1,100$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c90…4795backed Yes | 19c | 1,040$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b83…5452backed Yes | 19c | 1,020$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7912…c0f3backed Yes | 21c | 1,016$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…04ebbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 21c | 999.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e1…3990backed Yes | 22c | 731.73$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…f651backed Yes | 21c | 701.86$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…9d06backed Yes | 23c | 615$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…90f0backed Yes | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 79c | 552.43$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…d941backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…00d9backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…5415backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6651…722cbacked Yes | 22c | 454.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…d100backed Yes | 13c | 454.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bff…7cd6backed No | 79c | 447.01$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Yes | 20c | 389.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +162.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…f159backed Yes | 19c | 380.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…fc99backed Yes | 19c | 373.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cc…4c52backed Yes | 19c | 362.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…6cf9backed Yes | 19c | 359.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…d437backed Yes | 27c | 354.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…2e40backed Yes | 20c | 338.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…55b4backed Yes | 22c | 331.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 76c | 329.18$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…bc17backed Yes | 19c | 328.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…b252backed Yes | 13c | 303.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…8e6dbacked Yes | 20c | 300.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…9917backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Yes | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…f824backed Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70eb…c949backed Yes | 19c | 264.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…9ce4backed Yes | 19c | 263.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15b3…da0bbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…d459backed Yes | 19c | 258.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 20c | 258.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…c4dabacked Yes | 21c | 239.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347e…4d06backed Yes | 21c | 238.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…e525backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…bcd9backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca7…ce1dbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9c…387ebacked Yes | 20c | 236.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…2c38backed Yes | 20c | 230.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c5…4fbabacked Yes | 22c | 226.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…2e16backed Yes | 20c | 223.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 80c | 220.05$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 22c | 218$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…fd4fbacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…8a59backed Yes | 8c | 204.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x114c…0015backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes | 21c | 197.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd811…13efbacked Yes | 20c | 189.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a7…2255backed Yes | 27c | 185.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…e877backed Yes | 19c | 178.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378e…2ca7backed Yes | 19c | 167.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +169.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…15a1backed Yes | 22c | 162.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…c550backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…e15cbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…dd99backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…243abacked Yes | 19c | 154.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…19fbbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…3053backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…b94dbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Yes | 19c | 140.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0d…7df9backed Yes | 19c | 139.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1074…b136backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…ab38backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland won
- Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.