UFC · resolved market
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57b90d62f3ee7e5b97bf6d67bd9f58bb771052d791163f7fff1796243681b3e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4e8…1a01backed Yes | 12c | 72,667$8,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,715 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yes | 11c | 27,745$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…8b21backed Yes | 11c | 24,632$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked Yes | 11c | 6,327$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c90…4795backed Yes | 11c | 4,623$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…fe58backed Yes | 11c | 3,511$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Yes | 12c | 3,273$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…e818backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…6b3abacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 12c | 1,855$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 12c | 1,813$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…647cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,664$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee4…8399backed Yes | 12c | 1,650$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…f5e4backed Yes | 11c | 1,535$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2828…d265backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +150%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes | 16c | 1,283$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Yes | 12c | 1,224$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…9babbacked Yes | 12c | 1,205$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…cd62backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…34ecbacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Yes | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…adfabacked Yes | 12c | 935.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Yes | 13c | 920.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed Yes | 11c | 898.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…f824backed Yes | 12c | 858.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…fb8abacked Yes | 12c | 853.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Yes | 12c | 845.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…55e8backed Yes | 12c | 811.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 12c | 733.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…8648backed Yes | 11c | 696.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x638c…1e4abacked Yes | 11c | 681.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…d3febacked Yes | 12c | 583.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…fa1abacked Yes | 12c | 566.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 11c | 563.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19c2…a831backed Yes | 11c | 559.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 20c | 500.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…c5b6backed Yes | 15c | 498.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…6cf0backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Yes | 12c | 419.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 13c | 416.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d11…855bbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…2e16backed Yes | 11c | 407$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…4c2ebacked Yes | 12c | 387.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…65fabacked Yes | 12c | 386$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bb…515dbacked Yes | 13c | 377.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 16cpaid | +302.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0992…fb51backed Yes | 11c | 359.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d5…281fbacked Yes | 10c | 320.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…e972backed Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…599dbacked Yes | 12c | 305.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…baafbacked Yes | 12c | 282.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…359fbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1965…db4bbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Yes | 14c | 265.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcb…d6cdbacked Yes | 19c | 255.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…5476backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b5…68e1backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…ce4bbacked Yes | 12c | 233.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…eb58backed Yes | 11c | 231.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e36…c141backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…c336backed Yes | 9c | 226.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed Yes | 12c | 225.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…f18cbacked Yes | 11c | 224.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6651…722cbacked Yes | 15c | 220.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…2e00backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…5187backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7912…c0f3backed Yes | 12c | 205.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 48cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…882bbacked Yes | 11c | 190.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea8…6d62backed Yes | 12c | 189.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b41…d741backed Yes | 14c | 188.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +184.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…a1fabacked Yes | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…7374backed Yes | 10c | 166.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…e6a8backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d05…f32cbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…57d5backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…debdbacked Yes | 11c | 166.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…4279backed Yes | 12c | 160.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12f…d1babacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 12c | 152.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3037…f855backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5d…9ab3backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +177.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…f9c5backed Yes | 20c | 149.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…b0f0backed Yes | 12c | 146.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…b100backed Yes | 12c | 139.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +152%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…886cbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 77c | 126.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…9648backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…9e72backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e35…8a05backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…6996backed Yes | 12c | 124.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…d100backed Yes | 32c | 124.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb05d…53afbacked Yes | 11c | 123.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland won
- Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.