UFC · resolved market
Fight to Go the Distance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02cea71a9ddb1ea9ae75abdcbc884e13e92d1222df017045588840b86e877352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed No | 71c | 53,005$37,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,633.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Yes | 29c | 41,379$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,379.31 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed No | 72c | 12,584$9,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,029.84 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 9,037$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,255.81 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed No | 65c | 7,247$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…29dcbacked No | 71c | 7,049$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Yes | 31c | 6,640$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,581.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 69c | 6,028$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.27 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 29c | 5,862$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.56 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f4…5b53backed No | 71c | 5,772$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,085 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 28c | 5,670$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.07 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Yes | 31c | 5,419$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 32c | 4,235$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.57 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 29c | 3,552$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.84 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 70c | 3,505$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.34 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…e658backed Yes | 32c | 3,472$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed No | 74c | 3,079$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 33c | 3,010$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +207%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 68c | 2,849$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.57 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 68c | 2,674$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.54 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,586$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed No | 72c | 2,585$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.66 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 28c | 2,282$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.09 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked No | 71c | 2,180$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 28c | 2,138$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.36 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Yes | 77c | 1,812$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.29 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 67c | 1,792$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…a68abacked Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…6cf1backed No | 71c | 1,681$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 1c | 1,559$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 30c | 1,425$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.32 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Yes | 62c | 1,301$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 61c | 1,240$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.26 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0371…3683backed No | 64c | 1,223$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…2736backed Yes | 29c | 1,207$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed No | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked No | 7c | 1,176$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Yes | 28c | 1,175$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…2bc6backed No | 69c | 1,110$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 67c | 1,106$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.57 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 33c | 1,055$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f5…8d50backed Yes | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 66c | 999.96$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked No | 70c | 999.92$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 67c | 991.15$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.07 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 28c | 843.21$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.11 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf895…e69dbacked No | 70c | 837.32$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…478fbacked Yes | 30c | 821.79$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…31bcbacked Yes | 32c | 790.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…d7edbacked Yes | 28c | 785.71$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa70e…709fbacked Yes | 38c | 767.92$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6e…bd19backed Yes | 33c | 758.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…c33abacked Yes | 29c | 750$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +211.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…5e07backed Yes | 28c | 735.9$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…db2ebacked No | 73c | 678.46$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.06 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…9178backed No | 68c | 624.99$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…2ed4backed Yes | 33c | 610.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…4766backed Yes | 28c | 607.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +194.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8462…f754backed Yes | 33c | 607.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b1…724ebacked No | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked No | 67c | 599.99$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca4c…2477backed Yes | 28c | 580.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e7…c343backed No | 69c | 575.73$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked No | 69c | 574.38$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed No | 67c | 564.99$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.05 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Yes | 25c | 556.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.14 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…bec2backed Yes | 40c | 555$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 29c | 515.29$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.01 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 71c | 499.96$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.97 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 71c | 499.5$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.17 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 38c | 460.38$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Yes | 48c | 451.73$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed No | 69c | 444$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.52 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed No | 69c | 442.37$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a0…9884backed Yes | 29c | 428.71$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +239.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…d737backed No | 71c | 416.66$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…f516backed No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e84…a101backed Yes | 33c | 393.19$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +314.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Yes | 48c | 375.76$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.81 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 72c | 370.8$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.55 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed No | 69c | 364.34$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked Yes | 28c | 360.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.71 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…0614backed No | 70c | 356.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 39c | 350.89$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…73e1backed Yes | 29c | 345.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +238.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 30c | 338.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…ddf3backed Yes | 33c | 336.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7c…a4afbacked Yes | 33c | 335.64$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…6e4cbacked Yes | 32c | 332.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.09 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…08d9backed No | 70c | 331.9$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 57c | 325.5$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 13c | 317.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.62 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…abbbbacked Yes | 34c | 313.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fight to Go the Distance?this page
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland won
- Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.