UFC · resolved market
Will the fight be won by submission?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2f898743822206c81c20945c665c992614e808a0c7b8fad81994fcff94287b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 49c | 28,880$14,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,728.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 48c | 12,725$6,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,585.42 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed No | 46c | 9,620$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 50c | 6,781$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c56…59a6backed Yes | 51c | 6,450$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 46c | 5,142$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.18 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Yes | 54c | 4,720$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked Yes | 53c | 4,456$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 46c | 3,494$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.69 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…1916backed Yes | 51c | 2,884$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2427…d562backed Yes | 52c | 2,235$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0695backed Yes | 51c | 1,922$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 48c | 1,812$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.92 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 47c | 1,777$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…e1fbbacked Yes | 51c | 1,667$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 52c | 1,654$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…0720backed Yes | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…1a2abacked Yes | 58c | 1,464$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 1,434$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.55 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Yes | 42c | 1,424$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.72 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…f2c5backed Yes | 51c | 1,195$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Yes | 54c | 1,188$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…a68abacked Yes | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…bd69backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed No | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 49c | 973.7$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.86 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 56c | 968.88$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…3051backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed Yes | 47c | 879.63$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.43 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…e3c2backed Yes | 53c | 829.85$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked No | 51c | 702.06$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e0…b90fbacked Yes | 54c | 666.17$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed Yes | 11c | 606.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…8b6dbacked No | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…cd62backed Yes | 49c | 599.85$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 53c | 568.92$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.94 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…fa0fbacked Yes | 53c | 528.49$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Yes | 54c | 519.07$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 53c | 507.15$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.36 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9c…179dbacked No | 54c | 495.59$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…08d9backed Yes | 51c | 492.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 51c | 487.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…32a4backed Yes | 51c | 479.55$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…a91bbacked Yes | 51c | 478.27$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Yes | 53c | 455.32$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.01 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…6877backed Yes | 50c | 443.18$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 50c | 442.39$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed No | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…1ec6backed Yes | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 53c | 422.3$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.68 | 385 | 53.2%205 W · 180 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Yes | 51c | 421.57$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…0494backed Yes | 12c | 414.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef6c…a483backed Yes | 54c | 363.43$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…d6e7backed No | 54c | 346.33$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 48c | 337.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.05 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…c5b6backed Yes | 62c | 335.59$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed Yes | 53c | 321.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…52fabacked Yes | 63c | 320.89$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…5cd8backed Yes | 50c | 300.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Yes | 47c | 300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8462…f754backed Yes | 50c | 299.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c6…d4b9backed Yes | 50c | 292.5$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 51c | 268.08$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…3053backed Yes | 52c | 262.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…e7c2backed Yes | 54c | 257.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…1ee1backed No | 50c | 251.47$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…19a9backed Yes | 51c | 222.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…7ff9backed Yes | 47c | 213.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 48c | 207.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed No | 53c | 206.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…2e40backed Yes | 51c | 205.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…d3febacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed Yes | 53c | 202.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 49c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5049…e4eabacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Yes | 50c | 199.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 47c | 199.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…6cf1backed Yes | 51c | 196.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9848…a7f1backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…e972backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…f6a7backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…15a1backed Yes | 50c | 193.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…9d06backed Yes | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3140…b176backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…636cbacked No | 52c | 191.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…f4cbbacked No | 51c | 190$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b3…da0bbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 53c | 188.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…de25backed Yes | 54c | 186.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3dd3backed Yes | 54c | 186.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the fight be won by submission?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland won
- Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.