UFC · resolved market
O/U 3.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2df8f4f799d975fae97a6c52c2292074b7b28a4bd25c19a0dfeb298e56e34f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 45c | 30,388$13,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,563.67 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 54c | 17,035$9,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,224.06 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70aa…293bbacked Under | 57c | 8,670$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 7,138$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.16 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Over | 44c | 6,213$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.76 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe455…81f5backed Under | 57c | 5,164$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Under | 54c | 4,909$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.3 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Under | 58c | 4,062$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Under | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7c93backed Over | 45c | 2,615$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Under | 57c | 2,000$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.65 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 55c | 1,598$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.77 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Over | 44c | 1,400$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.12 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 45c | 1,314$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 57c | 1,167$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.23 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Under | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 45c | 1,085$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…21c8backed Under | 58c | 1,007$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 43c | 986.15$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 54c | 907.72$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.17 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 55c | 880$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee4…8399backed Under | 56c | 837.5$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 55c | 815.83$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Under | 56c | 801.79$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x334b…d971backed Under | 54c | 749.98$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 43c | 703.2$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.83 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b8…0418backed Under | 57c | 688.34$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 54c | 674.28$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.11 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 53c | 637.96$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…85cabacked Under | 58c | 581.03$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe15d…9507backed Over | 44c | 566.25$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Over | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 52c | 499.4$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.69 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked Under | 58c | 448.92$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.37 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…f10cbacked Under | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Under | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Under | 54c | 422.78$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.07 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…dd72backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Over | 47c | 372.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…a60ebacked Under | 54c | 361.11$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Under | 58c | 345$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a4…c6a9backed Under | 58c | 336.34$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d8…8dd3backed Under | 54c | 303.7$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Over | 45c | 282.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Under | 55c | 271.36$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…7fa7backed Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…2fe1backed Over | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Over | 43c | 240$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2c…7313backed Under | 55c | 229.69$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 54c | 229.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…7423backed Over | 47c | 212.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 55c | 204.45$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 46c | 186.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a7…2255backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 184.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…c340backed Over | 48c | 142.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…9ce4backed Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 53c | 121.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 117.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Under | 58c | 117.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Over | 46c | 116.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f5…6fffbacked Over | 45c | 111.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…359cbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…ee4bbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 54c | 102.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…2f3dbacked Under | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…89f3backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…d89abacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Under | 54c | 99.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…b62ebacked Over | 49c | 99.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over | 43c | 98.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.43per pick | 47cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…99d8backed Under | 57c | 97.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Over | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…7a36backed Over | 45c | 95.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Under | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8f…f793backed Over | 48c | 91.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Under | 55c | 90.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…2103backed Under | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Under | 56c | 89.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 53c | 89.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf444…8bb9backed Under | 55c | 87.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2df…a357backed Under | 57c | 85.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…d459backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…67fdbacked Under | 55c | 83.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 53c | 77.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…3077backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 3.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland won
- Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.