UFC · resolved market
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb77ff6e36f5229b32ab005cfaf6d1f27383abcbcd22a5cb9cd6b61f245f7226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 72c | 5,303$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Yes | 28c | 5,065$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked No | 75c | 4,520$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe98…59b7backed No | 78c | 3,229$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…0720backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed No | 69c | 2,668$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 58c | 2,610$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.66 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…f2c5backed Yes | 28c | 2,499$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes | 43c | 2,334$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe853…75a8backed No | 67c | 1,992$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…cd62backed Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee4…8399backed Yes | 32c | 1,487$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 71c | 1,415$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.32 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…c61abacked Yes | 35c | 1,106$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 73c | 999.98$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 19c | 864.27$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 72c | 699.29$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…d3febacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 71c | 650$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 71c | 563.15$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 29c | 559.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 74c | 503.93$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 22c | 463.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 71c | 414.02$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.23 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…9d06backed Yes | 32c | 407.59$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 73c | 399.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 7c | 386.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…2ed4backed No | 77c | 379.91$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…7975backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…bef4backed Yes | 29c | 310.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 69c | 305.86$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…e692backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked Yes | 30c | 293.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…4766backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +194.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…cca4backed Yes | 32c | 247.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 32c | 234.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…d415backed Yes | 30c | 232.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…b3e7backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…fa1abacked Yes | 30c | 217.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…4d09backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…8e6dbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc59…df13backed Yes | 28c | 179.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…2eb0backed Yes | 28c | 178.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 174.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…bcd9backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 63c | 169.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…a3a4backed Yes | 30c | 163.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0e…e9c1backed Yes | 30c | 156.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…bec2backed No | 68c | 147.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…1679backed Yes | 35c | 143.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…4c2ebacked Yes | 28c | 143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad17…3bd6backed No | 75c | 134.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 71c | 116.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b6…4787backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be8…d871backed Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…551abacked Yes | 27c | 102.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…2f49backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +86%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…d461backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…2e00backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…a026backed Yes | 30c | 98.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f8…df6ebacked Yes | 30c | 98.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 27c | 95.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f72…a00cbacked No | 73c | 93.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…fc57backed Yes | 27c | 90.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6296…4ac7backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes | 26c | 75.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cba…4d5bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…1cf0backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957f…0495backed Yes | 32c | 72.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 28c | 72.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8162…3522backed Yes | 27c | 71.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…16c4backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x192d…ebabbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…8dcdbacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Yes | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…5d3cbacked Yes | 28c | 67.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…d416backed No | 63c | 67.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 68c | 66.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…9d72backed No | 71c | 60.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…8b6dbacked No | 67c | 59.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a2…5541backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…cdf4backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 54.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 132 | 21.2%28 W · 104 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1a…66b4backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…63a5backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…13adbacked Yes | 32c | 52.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d5…281fbacked Yes | 29c | 51.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…0c80backed Yes | 30c | 50.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…b196backed No | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 67c | 48.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3903…a083backed Yes | 31c | 47.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland won
- Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.