TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x46ee…ae61

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundzabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23,671Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,671.11
Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.49
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougazbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$1,390.29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.41
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landalucebacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,030.47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,238.84
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,679Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$5,693.82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,970Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$9,969.52
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11,891Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,891.18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$8,722Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$4,726.32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$939Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.98
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Belluccibacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,850
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.39
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marcos Giron vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$699.71
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23,519Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$11,788.6
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,308.84
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,604Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,422.01
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,083Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.3%+$17,874.99
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$792.98
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,675.94
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$795.97
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,076Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+162.8%+$5,007.16
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$172.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,099.96
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$10,700
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,492.86
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15,551Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$5,956.18
Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$833.28
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.62
Eberechi Eze: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$45.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$316.14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,400
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,426Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2,771.45
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,836Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$832.21
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,711Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,710.71
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,450.81
Will Jirí Procházka win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Esteban Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Loopy Godínez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,200
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Kelvin Gastelum · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,800
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick30cpaid+99%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+111.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,399.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,747.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.