Champions League · resolved market
Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9417b21ee32e92d4a1e8452364b2eee960883c7ee98fc61cb26e51d001d9f7ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed No | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 75c | 1,244$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.24 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 35cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 78c | 999.66$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.71 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 74c | 676.82$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.05 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Yes | 15c | 657$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 79c | 648.3$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…5201backed Yes | 24c | 628.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Yes | 26c | 505.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…1a27backed Yes | 24c | 415.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Yes | 24c | 367.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 74c | 324.23$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…9715backed Yes | 26c | 264.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 25c | 255.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 20c | 246.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 24c | 223.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…0c70backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Yes | 25c | 196.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 76c | 187.86$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 28c | 185.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…1637backed Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Yes | 29c | 170$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 75c | 156.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…8902backed Yes | 23c | 130.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…6aafbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed Yes | 21c | 128.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 22c | 119.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…319bbacked Yes | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 27c | 73.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 75c | 60.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…35e9backed Yes | 20c | 50.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…2278backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 44.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…9b70backed Yes | 24c | 43.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -89%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34d3…53b6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…df0ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 70c | 34.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…c4d0backed No | 79c | 29.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 78c | 28.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Ademola Lookman: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Andre Harriman-Annous: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Antoine Griezmann: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Bukayo Saka: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Eberechi Eze: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Gabriel Jesus: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.