TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab5b…9b70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$10.31
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.7
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.75
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$26.66
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.48
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.58
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$10.31
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.84
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.96
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+203.4%+$32.26
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93.51
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10
Shelton vs. Ruud: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)backed Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.5
Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.43
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Munar (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10
Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Kopriva (+2.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+74.5%+$17.34
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.76
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56%+$8.35
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.13
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.55
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:1 against Carlos Alcaraz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-12.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.14
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$54.76
Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$49.86
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Chelsea vs. PSG draw 1-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will PSG win 2-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will PSG win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will PSG win 1-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will Nigeria vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+203%+$26.13
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+316.7%+$79.29
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$34.07
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Belgium beat Israel?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will France beat Italy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+58.7%+$34.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$13.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$55.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Over/Under 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.