Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43959922d5a158e4f746504d22ecb9182f77f9cc976f090898e4054817797e16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,015,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,192,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,015,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 853 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 70,954$42,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,852.75 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 55,762$20,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,292.21 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 54,544$19,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,685.36 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 35c | 53,600$18,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,839.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 53,035$33,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,439.21 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 65c | 45,732$29,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,725.82 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 42,309$26,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,905.15 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 35c | 40,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,799.92 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 36c | 37,496$13,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,007.58 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 35c | 35,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,749.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 35c | 35,000$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,899.93 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 29,971$19,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,464.29 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 65c | 22,222$14,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,444.28 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed No | 65c | 20,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 18,011$9,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,662.54 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 35c | 18,000$6,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,779.94 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 64c | 17,302$11,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,018.5 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 65c | 14,756$9,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,591.3 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…698bbacked No | 64c | 14,534$9,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,231.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 35c | 14,286$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,285.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…f037backed Yes | 42c | 14,231$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,246.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 39c | 12,209$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,441.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 65c | 12,178$7,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,915.7 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Yes | 37c | 12,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,560 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 63c | 11,291$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,080.43 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 11,157$5,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,766.69 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 33c | 11,094$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,432.86 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed No | 61c | 8,900$5,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,429 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 40c | 7,937$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,748.72 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 65c | 7,679$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.35 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed No | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 64c | 7,500$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 66c | 7,233$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,773.58 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 6,935$4,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,435.3 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 66c | 6,896$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.98 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 47c | 6,185$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.34 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.95 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.27 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 56c | 5,549$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.96 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…9fc6backed Yes | 71c | 5,110$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…709dbacked No | 63c | 5,088$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 66c | 4,545$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked No | 64c | 4,525$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.89 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 60c | 3,969$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.07 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 77c | 3,914$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…c2f4backed No | 60c | 3,858$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…8278backed Yes | 34c | 3,815$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 33c | 3,712$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 34c | 3,481$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.34 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 39c | 3,436$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.22 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 33c | 3,408$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…2963backed No | 61c | 3,325$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 66c | 3,202$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.2 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 62c | 3,202$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.14 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 61c | 3,137$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.24 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.97 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 64c | 2,975$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.65 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 39c | 2,794$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.01 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 37c | 2,679$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.57 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 33c | 2,678$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.88 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 62c | 2,610$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.2 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 66c | 2,606$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 35c | 2,560$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 66c | 2,550$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.96 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 36c | 2,450$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.04 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed No | 62c | 2,345$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 2,328$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.43 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 35c | 2,295$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.48 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 63c | 2,235$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.09 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 2,140$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.47 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.98 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Yes | 35c | 1,993$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,977$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.75 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.68 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 65c | 1,918$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.7 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 62c | 1,915$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.83 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 62c | 1,810$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.18 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 67c | 1,800$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 55c | 1,793$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…847abacked No | 66c | 1,779$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes | 36c | 1,758$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 65c | 1,729$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed Yes | 33c | 1,700$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 64c | 1,678$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.78 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 33c | 1,649$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 66c | 1,611$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.22 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…bee0backed Yes | 38c | 1,561$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…1bf3backed No | 62c | 1,534$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed No | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 61c | 1,500$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.49 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…0ce0backed Yes | 74c | 1,490$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.