TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$225,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,084 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x083c…3f02backed No70c60,020$42,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,006366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes30c59,992$17,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,997.61861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes30c26,253$7,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,866.3410443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked No70c19,650$13,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,895666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes30c16,157$4,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,847728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No70c13,300$9,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9902552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c10,685$7,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,021.5658248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c7,413$5,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.131,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c5,888$4,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.4359741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Yes24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed No70c4,010$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed No69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.832050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c3,696$2,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.311,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes31c3,194$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes31c2,844$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.6312644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No69c2,785$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.437346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c2,639$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.4929846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes21c2,606$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.26862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84c…c193backed Yes31c2,560$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No69c2,480$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.783647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed No70c2,288$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Yes31c1,774$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No70c1,753$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.01683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c1,752$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.5663346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a90…2827backed Yes30c1,700$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7f…105bbacked No70c1,503$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eae…fbaebacked Yes30c1,501$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No77c1,333$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.8334342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c1,116$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.838043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c79…1bd5backed Yes31c1,074$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.01520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29019028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed No71c952.54$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked No71c952.5$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.237100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+70.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No71c952$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.084242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+403.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c902.61$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.433851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223a…7664backed Yes22c888.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+79%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No70c877.47$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.1939746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed No70c874.8$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.443063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed Yes30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b01…6977backed Yes21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Yes30c689$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.71250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004425%11 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes29c605$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.457946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No70c575.88$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.295424.1%13 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Yes24c554.17$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes13c552$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.962138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes22c550$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac51…3f9ebacked Yes26c542.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No71c533.89$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.497146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b8a…0724backed Yes28c533.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502035%7 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No70c499.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.991533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed Yes30c490.74$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.22850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c5…457fbacked Yes24c488.04$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes25c448$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8821460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3397…9ec1backed Yes24c425$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10270%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes31c422.58$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1295438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes25c395.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Yes31c351.72$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Yes22c350$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1d…a34ebacked Yes22c346.14$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes29c345$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0522547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes31c335.65$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.052420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3703…fdadbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906428.1%18 W · 46 L-8.7wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905226.9%14 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No70c299.6$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8810649.1%52 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed Yes24c292.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.13633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes31c288.26$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.361952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes29c273.45$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.315938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd337…6fd3backed Yes24c251.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes16c247.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No77c245.92$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2121745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No71c212.95$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.459160.4%55 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445923.7%14 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6dd…0accbacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed No69c194.83$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.43151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No70c194.38$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9613146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes23c174$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0243427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c0f…0ababacked Yes23c170.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021443.9%94 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…e114backed Yes31c160.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.891833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes30c157$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.120644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes17c154.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26444.5%2 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No71c150.72$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.712552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes23c148$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes15c145$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7537544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes7c140$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No71c139$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.612161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe972…4cfbbacked Yes31c138.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaa…f662backed Yes33c136.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No74c134$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4938343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.