TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe972…4cfb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$207.97
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$53.82
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$102.67
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$99
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$83.62
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$76.84
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$43.39
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$55.06
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs WW Team (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Cbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.08
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$112.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+134.8%+$156.75
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.7%+$74.61
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+100%+$54
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$88.1
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$39.23
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+29.9%+$7.17
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$40.57
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rio Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Pedro Martinezbacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$393
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.8%+$52.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.