TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Warriors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Jazz, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,386,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,225,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,386,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 791 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b6c…6305backed Jazz19c276,792$52,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,835.287941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Jazz19c124,987$24,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,207.322453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Warriors76c57,647$43,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,742.055,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz17c54,202$9,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,214.3548343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Jazz17c45,000$7,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,81010930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz24c43,665$10,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,332.991,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Jazz20c35,002$7,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,096.3715841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ee…62a4backed Jazz10c32,377$3,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.762222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Jazz18c31,462$5,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,594.262347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz17c30,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Jazz25c27,679$6,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9377149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Jazz19c26,328$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.2661851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz16c26,102$4,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,266.171,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdac…c44bbacked Jazz22c25,921$5,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,755.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+73.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Jazz4c25,143$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99827917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Jazz1c25,050$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.769424.5%23 W · 71 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Jazz21c24,710$5,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,189.13540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors79c23,979$18,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,996.321,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz20c21,664$4,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,398.212,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Warriors80c20,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors80c20,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz17c20,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9947028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz19c20,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.9746928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Jazz18c18,500$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.9242640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz0c18,119$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.098820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Warriors79c16,546$13,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.642,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors70c15,369$10,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,627.233,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz12c14,998$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.771,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jazz30c14,668$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.6761939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Jazz19c13,768$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.5521538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Jazz0c13,400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.45213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Warriors74c13,003$9,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,390.113260.6%80 W · 52 L+14.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz16c12,615$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.392,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Jazz17c12,332$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.2612147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz20c11,377$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.441,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Warriors74c10,787$8,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,785.45745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors76c10,420$7,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…b539backed Jazz18c10,030$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.381030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Jazz20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz27c9,946$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,672.32,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz18c9,752$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.482,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Jazz19c9,663$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.525546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Jazz21c9,378$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00038649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz1c9,297$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4464517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz23c9,175$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.171,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80f7…3d6abacked Warriors80c9,114$7,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Jazz19c9,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6808348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz1c8,164$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.867211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5449…3932backed Jazz17c7,614$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Warriors80c7,500$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50013063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Warriors76c7,465$5,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.2527865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Warriors54c7,402$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,401.5919531.3%61 W · 134 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Warriors76c7,365$5,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.9534456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz4c7,300$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.561,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c9b…6611backed Jazz33c7,230$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.62240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jazz1c7,109$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9837944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Jazz25c7,001$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.2415247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Warriors75c7,000$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.9914243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz23c6,844$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60050838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Jazz20c6,800$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Jazz19c6,768$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.630947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Jazz18c6,700$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20647535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Jazz22c6,195$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.9628439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Warriors71c6,014$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.9718764.7%121 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Jazz17c6,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02016641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Jazz18c5,826$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.941,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Jazz32c5,500$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Jazz21c5,340$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.0539744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa573…87c5backed Jazz17c5,329$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9061855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Jazz30c5,143$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.5446940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed57…99a3backed Warriors80c4,900$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f41…f6debacked Jazz43c4,819$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Jazz42c4,711$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.451662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz0c4,677$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.341,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f05…d7c2backed Warriors74c4,545$3,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors80c4,528$3,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz25c4,502$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.284,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed Jazz19c4,290$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.912020%4 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-60.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Warriors79c4,287$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.2492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz18c4,234$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.153,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Jazz19c4,200$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7958348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz25c4,095$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.571,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Jazz37c4,063$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.987437.8%28 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz8c4,063$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.6381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe38c…23b3backed Jazz16c3,889$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…dd30backed Jazz37c3,736$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.83537.1%13 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fe…74dbbacked Warriors80c3,677$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.33429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Jazz17c3,639$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.6436741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff7…36b1backed Warriors77c3,489$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Warriors80c3,400$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68931455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Jazz27c3,379$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.4417420.1%35 W · 139 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Warriors80c3,374$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.8871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec9…8d0bbacked Warriors79c3,304$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.52152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz19c3,158$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Jazz15c3,106$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.9745838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Jazz21c3,062$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.85848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz13c3,036$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.681,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Jazz17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Jazz3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.