NBA · resolved market

Spread: Warriors (-12.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc72afc7002b6af3663e21ca899eec587fc6ea44fb1dc0d1564a70457a164f3c3

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Warriors, Jazz
Resolved: Jan 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $536,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $539,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,139 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Warriors	51c	231,688$118,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118,404.63	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz	48c	211,171$100,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110,844.52	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3a…8679backed Warriors	53c	188,875$99,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,968.8	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Jazz	68c	65,659$44,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,066.6	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jazz	51c	40,000$20,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,700	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jazz	48c	35,848$17,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,476.78	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	49c	20,199$9,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,283.91	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz	47c	20,130$9,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,568.4	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors	19c	19,145$3,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,714.23	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz	51c	15,000$7,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,350	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz	49c	11,000$5,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,560	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	51c	5,358$2,741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,616.98	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors	17c	4,119$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.22	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Jazz	50c	4,000$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,020	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Jazz	48c	4,000$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,100	132	60.6%80 W · 52 L	+14.0wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Jazz	47c	4,000$1,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,120	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Warriors	14c	3,000$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.29	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Jazz	52c	2,569$1,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,240.54	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz	50c	2,500$1,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,259.48	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors	44c	2,472$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.63	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Warriors	15c	2,437$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.47	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Jazz	62c	2,000$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760	354	47.7%169 W · 185 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	48c	1,927$922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.75	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz	47c	1,921$911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010.33	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Jazz	52c	1,500$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Warriors	17c	1,500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	165	50.9%84 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz	48c	1,458$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.16	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Jazz	56c	1,250$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Warriors	21c	1,217$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.89	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Warriors	17c	1,108$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.36	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Jazz	56c	1,085$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477.57	240	51.3%123 W · 117 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Jazz	53c	1,058$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.21	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Warriors	16c	963.22$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.26	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz	51c	800.31$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.03	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Jazz	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Warriors	17c	750$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f8e…5ad4backed Jazz	50c	700$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-51%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4d…33acbacked Warriors	50c	700$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1021…e648backed Warriors	49c	607.4$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Jazz	77c	536.29$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.55	153	55.6%85 W · 68 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Jazz	56c	535.71$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.71	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Warriors	48c	461.77$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Jazz	55c	460.64$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.59	183	45.9%84 W · 99 L	-16.4wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors	46c	416$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.6	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Warriors	17c	400$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	187	43.3%81 W · 106 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Warriors	16c	377.73$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.84	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Jazz	53c	377.55$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.55	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Jazz	48c	375$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Jazz	51c	329.41$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.41	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Jazz	52c	317.01$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.51	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Warriors	51c	299.9$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.95	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz	51c	296.15$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.15	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Jazz	51c	294.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.12	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Jazz	57c	281$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.83	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Warriors	48c	250$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Jazz	59c	244.07$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.07	167	40.1%67 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz	50c	233$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.98	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Warriors	53c	218.15$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.62	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked Jazz	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.3	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Jazz	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Jazz	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	289	29.4%85 W · 204 L	-13.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Warriors	47c	199.98$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.99	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Jazz	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	126	51.6%65 W · 61 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Warriors	45c	192$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	49c	176.65$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.37	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Jazz	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Warriors	21c	168$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.77	1,113	41.6%463 W · 650 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed Jazz	61c	164.95$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.95	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jazz	66c	157.28$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.95	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Jazz	64c	157.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.22	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jazz	48c	150$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.5	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Jazz	51c	130.36$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.21	127	27.6%35 W · 92 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Warriors	51c	130.33$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.91	110	60%66 W · 44 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Jazz	66c	127.93$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.13	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab40…24a8backed Warriors	52c	104$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Jazz	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	628	48.7%306 W · 322 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Jazz	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	96	53.1%51 W · 45 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Jazz	51c	98.9$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.9	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c18…3d1cbacked Jazz	75c	97.73$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Jazz	53c	97.02$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.02	235	47.7%112 W · 123 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors	33c	96.73$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.36	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Jazz	51c	96.25$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.16	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	-6.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Warriors	20c	96.06$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Warriors	42c	95.23$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Jazz	53c	94.93$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.93	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd843…7d56backed Jazz	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-4.3wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Warriors	31c	91.25$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.34	306	16.7%51 W · 255 L	-36.5wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Jazz	73c	90$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.38	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Jazz	66c	87.96$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.91	139	59.7%83 W · 56 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Warriors	46c	86.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Jazz	49c	85.68$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.33	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Warriors	49c	81.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	195	48.7%95 W · 100 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jazz	53c	75.68$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.57	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Warriors	43c	69.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.14	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a2…aed0backed Jazz	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Jazz	57c	64.21$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.34	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors	41c	60.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.19	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Jazz	65c	60$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	481	46.2%222 W · 259 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Jazz	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Jazz	49c	59.91$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.42	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Warriors (-12.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event