TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f6d…b4c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT12429.8%37 W · 87 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.03
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$184.3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,593Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+95.7%+$1,524.81
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$90.13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$540.13
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$65.56
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$170.52
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+27%+$166.82
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$325.98
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$32.36
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,058.04
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.5%+$241.13
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$546.52
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$863.51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$189.83
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$391.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$934.96
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+51.2%+$372.86
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+140.3%+$914.03
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.73
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$197.62
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20.18
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$173.08
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2020%4 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-60.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$666.36
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$798.91
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.48
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$288.03
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$272.09
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.25
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.21
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.15
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.98
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.02
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.25
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.79
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.91
Pacers vs. Rocketsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.06
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.76
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.06
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.89
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.16
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$234
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$246.92
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$3.54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$123.98
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$65.65
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$84.11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.71
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$587.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,663.14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$113.33
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+67.3%+$397.01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32.34
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$378.24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.97
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$910.81
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$123.87
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+233.3%+$59.5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+66.6%+$90.68
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$225.27
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+542.3%+$2,604.31
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$346.65
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$396.84
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$341.11
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$299.97
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$299.97
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+165.8%+$1,433.86
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+30.7%+$170.12
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$117.61
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$124.01
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,356.79
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick19cpaid+147%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$154.18
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$140.72
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,354Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+36.7%+$863.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$214.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$309.65
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$161.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$18.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,868.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$344.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.