TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes32c36,465$11,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,810.963250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c16,651$11,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,995.9846644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No61c9,608$5,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,905.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+48.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c6,914$4,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,486.8547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c6,171$4,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,661.6398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes23c5,914$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,579.323551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No75c2,943$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.444551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No77c2,748$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.6922852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842e…d9f5backed Yes18c2,189$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+447.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c2,152$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.2933444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No77c2,067$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.9416858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No57c1,965$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.0512532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed Yes27c1,320$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick19cpaid+147%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Yes44c1,201$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked No76c1,180$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.79540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9af…7807backed Yes27c982.98$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+268.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a51…d23dbacked Yes26c978.44$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+283.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes20c975$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.7513933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes25c888.43$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No51c853.77$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.262634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No49c842.95$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.2430536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No76c840$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.2560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a6…f7dfbacked Yes28c831.36$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+256.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed Yes61c816.17$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed No53c801.65$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.44100%0 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes24c788$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.552352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0a…01d4backed No56c749.99$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.21714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-72.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Yes38c680$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.6837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed9…c127backed No60c645.39$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes24c643.77$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.541675%12 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+60.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed No80c600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Yes35c599.27$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.011050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc081…224dbacked Yes21c578.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes58c566.22$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No71c556.51$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.5319345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked No55c546.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.43825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes78c517.07$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.371833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked No52c467.54$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No60c451.13$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e7f…2015backed No68c449.97$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No59c418.82$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24928659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9c…57b3backed Yes24c417.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+111.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes19c416.51$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.942479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes42c396$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7712156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes20c391.82$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.5630055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Yes21c380.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed No80c375$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Yes27c321.53$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+126.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No80c300$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27e6…3363backed Yes41c299.7$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed Yes25c260.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+100.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes50c253.03$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Yes41c244.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes24c210.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.731250%6 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No71c207.5$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3311063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes19c204.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.656955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes44c196.42$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.422548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc9…fc76backed Yes63c188.98$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed No62c175.8$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…de18backed Yes58c172.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.841172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes20c161.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.711844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Yes24c150.52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb364…d7a3backed Yes21c140.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+155%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Yes23c130.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+94.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06ac…0df2backed No77c127.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes41c121.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc916…2ee5backed Yes37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+71.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes21c101.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.571050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9672…e185backed No63c99.61$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.968247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdec5…14debacked Yes24c85.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes60c83.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.74875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…a9f6backed Yes48c82.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd07…f354backed No52c80.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8567…10b6backed No77c78.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Yes36c69.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No64c68.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.713149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x916d…308abacked No74c67.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.971040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…e3b4backed Yes73c63.95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No24c61.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.671827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Yes29c59.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+158.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked No55c56.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Yes22c49.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick23cpaid+212.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked No76c46.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes61c46.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Yes77c45.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+51%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd4b…c2bcbacked Yes39c44.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+90%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf617…7ff1backed Yes53c42.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes56c35.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a0…f575backed Yes53c35.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+202.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8948…63cbbacked Yes48c32.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1768…d3ddbacked Yes64c31.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes39c29.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.216865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.