Australian A League · resolved market
Will Auckland FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e6b406b302271204193f77108eaac95b4ccdcc91bd0efdcf11e786cf2d62368
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 9,816$7,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.23 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Yes | 26c | 1,872$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 1,547$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.2 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 34c | 907.03$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 855.92$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 27c | 717.04$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes | 29c | 714.65$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 26c | 580.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 75c | 439.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 27c | 406.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 71c | 396.36$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.19 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 32c | 356.47$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 29c | 348.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 21c | 322.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 321.16$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes | 27c | 288.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 70c | 213.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Yes | 33c | 194.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Yes | 29c | 188$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 182.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 22c | 163.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 29c | 118.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Yes | 31c | 116.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…a9f6backed Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Yes | 32c | 106.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 72c | 90.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Yes | 27c | 85.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…01d4backed Yes | 27c | 85.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 17c | 78.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Yes | 30c | 70.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…21b7backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Yes | 30c | 64.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 24c | 63.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 29c | 60.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 40.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…8ab5backed Yes | 27c | 40.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 38.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 38.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 35c | 33.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 34c | 32.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 22.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Auckland FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-31?No won
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.