TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No51c12,688$6,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,262.3146644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes60c12,607$7,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,545.413933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes50c12,198$6,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,144.593844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No40c6,626$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,992.1612055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c4,131$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.5398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.98742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes59c3,863$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.431533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No42c3,351$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+53.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No64c3,096$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.393250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No40c2,860$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.5228659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No41c2,594$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.368051.3%41 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes61c1,715$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.891353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No59c1,291$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Yes52c1,289$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes56c1,250$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-68.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes61c1,164$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7101637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No45c1,079$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.6816858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes54c1,012$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.513073.3%22 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes35c863.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Yes62c800$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed No75c782.61$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes60c750.78$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.473729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00c5…0622backed Yes60c717.57$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes27c709.26$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2812532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed No66c604.87$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.871747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed No50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb83a…6bfcbacked Yes54c502.94$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No42c499.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes60c493.29$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2975945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed No43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7f…2015backed No51c420$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Yes61c363.36$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.131947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes42c358.57$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.867631.6%24 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No60c357.85$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.422852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No46c315.16$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.762479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Yes43c302.43$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No47c300.69$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.041675%12 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+60.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No66c292$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7112156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No42c288.59$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.930536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.18050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes42c214.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.451833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No47c200.05$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.723551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c2…629fbacked No38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x916d…308abacked Yes24c184.9$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.21040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No42c182.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1211750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Yes55c182.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes59c177.59$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6530055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes57c175$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed No50c170.78$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f7…3da2backed No72c155.23$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.23560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed No48c152.23$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed No47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes61c144.82$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No56c127.63$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.889257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d89…ff81backed Yes57c122$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes63c120.55$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.953240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce0e…fb2ebacked Yes58c116.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No47c116.44$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9511063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdec5…14debacked Yes37c115$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-56.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556243.5%27 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.991625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa51c…89f0backed Yes63c96.54$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No57c92.3$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.384852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No61c88.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8713149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed Yes28c86.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes50c83.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes51c83.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a51…bde9backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-78.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No63c81.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.144946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No41c70.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7311351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes51c66.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.62040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes24c65.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.372634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed Yes32c64.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44100%0 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1c0a…01d4backed Yes34c63.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-72.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x206c…06b3backed No43c63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No47c60.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.634242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9134…ee18backed No43c59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes45c57.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.845832.8%19 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x542f…404dbacked Yes54c45.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed No42c42.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed No48c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.594447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a10…9977backed No74c34.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5552…819cbacked Yes57c34.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked No46c33.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.