TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc935…2579

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT6872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.59
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$31
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$76.41
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.07
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.78
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.27
Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.03
Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49%+$242.68
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$370.64
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$52.55
Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.1%+$46.32
Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$56.19
76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+86.2%+$75.47
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$72
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.7%+$318.17
Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$731.4
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$829Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+36.8%+$305.07
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+30.7%+$70.5
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$79.2
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$138.2
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38%+$114.06
Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.38
Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$20
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$255.3
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT5248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.74
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+300.3%+$375.1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+144.8%+$327.48
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.6%+$120.64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$349.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$102.05
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+113.6%+$409.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$124.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$197.58
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$478.85
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+93.4%+$484.77
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$77.26
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+52.1%+$34
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$122.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+84%+$171.25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$131.7
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.43
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+208.4%+$473
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+148.3%+$328.49
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$82.12
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+124.7%+$222
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$646.73
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37.3%+$122.26
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 4 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.5%+$286.1
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$526.27
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.2%+$483.57
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+27%+$76.53
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$83.69
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$192
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$87.18
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$24.94
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37.1%+$97.5
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.9
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.3%+$121.84
All 15 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Saski Baskoniabacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+31.2%+$178.95
Virtus Bologna vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$369.66
Panathinaikos vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+117.3%+$246.02
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Valenciabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$558.95
Fenerbahce vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$547.95
Anadolu Efes vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+71.4%+$79.87
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.4
Flyers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$24.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$208
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.