TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,336 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeb75…aaf9backed Under55c8,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6007759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c7,211$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over51c4,855$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over45c4,597$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.5454539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Under52c4,504$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.73250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c3,289$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.994,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under54c2,917$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.111,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c2,434$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8808751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fbe…dbacbacked Under50c1,428$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3612…e301backed Under50c1,396$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad67…e0efbacked Over50c1,392$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e4…e4f5backed Over50c1,384$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6799…645dbacked Under50c1,328$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e14…1587backed Over50c1,288$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x284a…8c6fbacked Under50c1,224$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6124100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6881…2482backed Under50c1,217$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fe6…22d8backed Over50c1,126$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd2…b584backed Under50c1,114$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Over46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa72e…ac65backed Over50c1,068$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e4…6a78backed Over50c1,036$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f8…075ebacked Under50c986$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf85…c54abacked Over50c984$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6422…1e7cbacked Under50c980$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e76…5339backed Under50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcdb…e141backed Under50c948$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c899.99$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4113,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c861.19$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.6369149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over47c852.59$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc57a…e78fbacked Over50c778$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd985…146dbacked Over50c733$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2660…3fe1backed Under50c713$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36c9…3073backed Over50c704$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d1…94b8backed Over50c691$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d5c…99bbbacked Over50c660$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0718…274abacked Under50c632$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over20c621.06$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7920838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4552…fc98backed Under50c612$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd232…f424backed Over50c566$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26cc…5f25backed Over50c512$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a49…8362backed Over50c510$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under55c509.09$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0946258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c501.35$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.651,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23016148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Under54c299.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9918233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over48c294.09$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4712552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c289.04$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.485,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over46c286.5$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7927747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over47c251.01$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7623350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc975…546dbacked Under50c249$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c180.3$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.542,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…8a4fbacked Over50c156$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over32c147.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.681,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Under51c129.26$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.344742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc94d…815ebacked Over49c120.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0915953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x109f…8107backed Over50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4937549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under55c94.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.091,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9165649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over46c86.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.72,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over45c84.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18eb…a602backed Under55c72.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Over46c71.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337744.2%34 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5525753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fa…6ac4backed Under51c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.981,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2360267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x046a…2e31backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.454245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb469…625bbacked Over50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over45c41.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.861,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c41.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.913,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba18…1ecdbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under69c39.95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.386872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c25…9885backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.145,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under67c37.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3619166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0450351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.366453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Under55c34.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6211652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over47c32.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9954549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over48c23.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1711850%59 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over46c22.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3552552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5736…fdbabacked Over46c21.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.111030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de7…59ecbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e7…a322backed Under69c18.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.666157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.