NBA · resolved market
Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cde272804551513550fc1ae69cadd4e1726df9125b5fa50d3030cf9ab1212ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,070 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 39c | 693.15$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb9…6a60backed Yes | 61c | 295.69$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…74b3backed Yes | 61c | 266.76$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 43c | 229.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Yes | 60c | 73.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Yes | 55c | 72.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 41c | 50.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Yes | 61c | 47.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6e…8fe0backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…ed19backed No | 40c | 41.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 42c | 41.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d3f4backed No | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. 76ers76ers won
- Jazz vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)Jazz won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 32.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.