TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof 76ers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,723 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Jazz50c96,614$48,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,307.1617250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3290…1135backed 76ers50c43,134$21,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,567.141861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f3…3110backed 76ers50c29,000$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,500540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Jazz60c20,984$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,484.336549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked 76ers50c16,400$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,20034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers42c11,040$4,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,634.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed 76ers50c10,402$5,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2014742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed 76ers50c7,080$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,54049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers42c6,907$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jazz55c4,347$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.031,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Jazz50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Jazz55c3,645$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.258361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz50c3,318$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.694,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers41c2,559$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.592,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f1…4c8abacked 76ers50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz52c2,489$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers45c2,203$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.724,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Jazz53c1,818$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.4769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked 76ers41c1,817$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74523052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed 76ers41c1,815$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.151,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed 76ers41c1,815$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.1522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked 76ers50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers47c1,784$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.864,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked 76ers57c1,723$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.819442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Jazz52c1,680$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.46439.1%25 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz50c1,434$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.023,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aae…f789backed Jazz50c1,420$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee73…c22bbacked Jazz50c1,396$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1308…0d17backed Jazz50c1,372$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x328f…692abacked Jazz50c1,368$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1247…d033backed 76ers50c1,364$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x319f…5432backed 76ers50c1,356$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa741…1f1ebacked 76ers50c1,356$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0685…13d0backed Jazz50c1,348$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x476a…db42backed Jazz50c1,333$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x779a…035dbacked Jazz50c1,324$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x608b…6c2bbacked 76ers50c1,324$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz56c1,316$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.8387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c6d…d798backed 76ers50c1,308$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c3…2610backed 76ers50c1,286$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c53…4522backed 76ers50c1,248$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6007…88ecbacked 76ers50c1,216$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ef…0d38backed Jazz50c1,214$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x795f…e09cbacked 76ers50c1,194$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5221…5a3bbacked Jazz50c1,192$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa8c…60e3backed 76ers50c1,190$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x337c…5b4bbacked Jazz50c1,174$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…9311backed Jazz50c1,140$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5702100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f58…d19ebacked Jazz50c1,138$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4c3…7a14backed 76ers50c1,128$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf44f…d6d7backed 76ers50c1,120$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e30…0f7bbacked 76ers50c1,116$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f2…1f4dbacked 76ers50c1,112$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85cb…914ebacked 76ers50c1,112$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed 76ers41c1,072$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.521,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3e…130ebacked Jazz50c1,068$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa277…0c11backed Jazz50c1,058$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160e…a2dabacked 76ers50c1,056$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fd…e156backed Jazz50c1,044$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc6b…a8b7backed Jazz50c1,030$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5671…598fbacked 76ers50c1,028$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f44…c6f3backed 76ers50c1,020$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c1…c4e5backed Jazz50c1,012$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8054…5ed0backed Jazz50c1,010$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1167…9d7dbacked 76ers50c1,004$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Jazz60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40014244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Jazz54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9995641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923d…4bb3backed Jazz50c996$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74b2…a721backed 76ers50c980$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4171…9bcbbacked Jazz50c976$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eca…5130backed Jazz50c976$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a68…1a3fbacked Jazz50c966$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d1f…41ccbacked Jazz50c954$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa945…13e2backed 76ers50c950$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf851…5366backed Jazz50c938$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x002d…6009backed Jazz50c936$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x810b…33f7backed Jazz50c926$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4632100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29f2…e32abacked 76ers50c924$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b66…fa28backed 76ers50c916$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d41…0fb5backed 76ers50c916$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0141…70febacked Jazz50c916$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa0…3eb2backed 76ers50c912$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7f…f224backed 76ers50c902$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb54a…f62dbacked 76ers50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…c9abbacked 76ers50c886$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…4672backed 76ers50c880$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d7…23efbacked Jazz50c864$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3467…e816backed 76ers50c854$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked 76ers47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked 76ers41c840$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d9…95a2backed Jazz50c834$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c19…24cfbacked Jazz50c820$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda4…6928backed Jazz50c808$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4043100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc091…24cfbacked 76ers50c806$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x828a…a900backed Jazz50c802$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd294…ba43backed Jazz50c776$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f9a…b125backed 76ers50c768$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710a…be4cbacked Jazz50c764$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…7530backed 76ers50c762$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd24…fde2backed Jazz50c738$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.