NBA · resolved market
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 32.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb71a7d98b0286775d6f4cb7a20eb31ea6697e5f450222cb2c7cf15b2ec152eba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,840 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 54c | 2,005$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.49 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 46c | 1,586$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.01 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 45c | 859.21$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.57 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed No | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 54c | 272.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 6c | 196.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 43c | 121.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…8498backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 32.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. 76ers76ers won
- Jazz vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)Jazz won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.