TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof 76ers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$430,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,279 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed 76ers48c110,000$52,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,399.9848343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz54c81,709$43,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,867.2687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Jazz55c79,978$43,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,990.0143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed 76ers48c68,000$32,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,568.481,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers45c54,060$24,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,287.532,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz52c47,127$24,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,824.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers49c45,392$22,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,087.151,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz54c26,873$14,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,480.994,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked 76ers47c21,389$10,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,05320948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked 76ers45c20,670$9,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,301.4328649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers49c15,643$7,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,665.051,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1217…6211backed Jazz52c11,894$6,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,731.824100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Jazz51c10,474$5,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,124.3741649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Jazz52c10,407$5,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,995.4412245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Jazz51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed 76ers48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cde…c25fbacked Jazz51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Jazz50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f1…4c8abacked Jazz51c7,827$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,827.031225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Jazz51c5,690$2,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,788.219445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa368…d116backed Jazz51c5,651$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.152839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed 76ers46c5,580$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.7931644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed 76ers44c4,487$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.478348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Jazz51c4,190$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.221943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed 76ers49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked 76ers47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz51c3,731$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz51c3,498$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Jazz51c3,453$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.7532150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed 76ers49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jazz54c2,887$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.961,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Jazz49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2751,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed 76ers47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8510847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers51c2,090$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.342,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc22…5738backed 76ers46c2,049$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.671323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed 76ers50c1,985$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.6458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5287…ca51backed Jazz51c1,894$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz48c1,721$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.863,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Jazz52c1,573$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.081675%12 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Jazz51c1,395$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.68148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz54c1,313$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.982,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jazz50c1,200$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked 76ers48c1,100$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.7518446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Jazz50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Jazz53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Jazz50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc948…7315backed Jazz51c990.19$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.191172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+55%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa793…2bb7backed Jazz54c944.44$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.442466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcede…6736backed 76ers45c921.07$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.483842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers41c893.76$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Jazz56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8617251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Jazz52c834.27$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.4511957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed 76ers45c770$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked 76ers47c745$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.1531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz50c741.81$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.263,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Jazz56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3082236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Jazz55c683.64$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.6440041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed 76ers47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz53c553.35$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.543,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked 76ers49c549.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.0143544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed 76ers47c546.25$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8776250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked 76ers49c516$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7523350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed 76ers46c497.86$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.151,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz50c477.75$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.882,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Jazz50c451$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Jazz54c450.43$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0520838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed 76ers46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed 76ers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d5…1232backed Jazz53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1779…eef2backed 76ers49c337.91$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6610936.7%40 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed 76ers46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015641.7%65 W · 91 L-13.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked 76ers46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Jazz55c321.53$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7334342.9%147 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Jazz56c320.83$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1712540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Jazz50c291.93$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2722746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked 76ers50c284.27$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Jazz54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7811754.7%64 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed 76ers49c257.6$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9922148%106 W · 115 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed 76ers45c248$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.654246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz51c240.2$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Jazz55c237.77$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7224946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Jazz55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1876552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Jazz54c217.39$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed 76ers49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4578652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked 76ers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb1…c109backed Jazz52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked 76ers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8835444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Jazz55c182$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked 76ers47c181$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8953945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers51c170.22$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.254,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Jazz51c165$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8512538.4%48 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked 76ers45c164$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.823950.6%121 W · 118 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed 76ers47c160.23$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.662844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2410…110fbacked 76ers45c135.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Jazz54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.638942.7%38 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14de…414ebacked Jazz56c119.64$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.643953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Jazz56c116.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0739552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed 76ers45c100.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.