NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b8bf7eaefde5fe027e88733a7b279261bae19d2ff3ee26d8c5e9511c311054

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $68,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,415 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6d10…e270backed Over	51c	17,100$8,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,720.38	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,100	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over	50c	9,531$4,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,765.5	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under	50c	3,993$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,992.75	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	50c	3,642$1,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,821	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	50c	3,100$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,550.01	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	50c	2,924$1,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,462.16	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Under	51c	2,622$1,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,284.57	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	49c	2,023$991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,031.51	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	49c	1,633$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.15	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	79c	1,615$1,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.11	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	2c	1,550$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Under	51c	1,500$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca1a…89e5backed Over	50c	1,001$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.41	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over	27c	975.6$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.55	208	38%79 W · 129 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	50c	890.41$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.02	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd56…dd56backed Under	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+50%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over	52c	576.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	364	50.8%185 W · 179 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	52c	325.15$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.83	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	49c	309.99$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.09	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	50c	300$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over	45c	227.99$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.59	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Over	51c	217.99$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.18	175	51.4%90 W · 85 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	55c	214.04$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.32	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Over	52c	202.12$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	28c	174.8$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.45	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over	47c	140$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.8	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	315	40.3%127 W · 188 L	-15.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…51b7backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	51c	99.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	339	49.9%169 W · 170 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	51c	93.09$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.38	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under	49c	81$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.31	239	50.6%121 W · 118 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	51c	53.13$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.17	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	52c	50.96$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.46	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under	52c	50.96$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.46	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe698…35eabacked Over	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	153	47.1%72 W · 81 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Under	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005b…2947backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…855fbacked Under	51c	36.84$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.05	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0172…4d2bbacked Under	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under	70c	28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	191	66.5%127 W · 64 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Over	52c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	140	42.9%60 W · 80 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	49c	24.6$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.55	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4eb…05b5backed Over	49c	21.15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.36	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5145…7731backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	193	46.1%89 W · 104 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event