TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe698…35ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.37
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$71.25
Juan Bautista Torres vs. Juan Carlos Prado: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Caty McNallybacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.6
Brasilia: Miguel Damas vs Thiago Monteirobacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaurbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$25.52
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$39.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Devilsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.65
Oilers vs. Devilsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.44
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Comoros win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.