Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f5fac43d794e6faf981c1d4447223dd5467ec495da0f6b925f252924ae2a430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Medvedev, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Minaur | 56c | 13,000$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.99 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Medvedev | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Minaur | 56c | 9,999$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,579.53 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Medvedev | 62c | 9,287$5,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.1 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…211dbacked Minaur | 62c | 9,011$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,609.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Medvedev | 55c | 7,968$4,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Medvedev | 37c | 6,255$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.35 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…b912backed Medvedev | 37c | 5,614$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.79 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Minaur | 38c | 5,100$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Medvedev | 39c | 5,000$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.21 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Medvedev | 35c | 4,368$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.1 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Minaur | 39c | 4,085$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.66 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Medvedev | 35c | 4,042$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.05 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Minaur | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Medvedev | 60c | 3,902$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.58 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Minaur | 61c | 3,887$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.84 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Minaur | 61c | 3,882$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.62 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Minaur | 65c | 3,845$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Medvedev | 38c | 3,816$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.07 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Medvedev | 58c | 2,285$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.3 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Medvedev | 58c | 2,274$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Minaur | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Medvedev | 39c | 1,651$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Medvedev | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Medvedev | 36c | 1,425$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.1 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Minaur | 64c | 1,403$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.77 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Medvedev | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Medvedev | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa09…94f6backed Medvedev | 40c | 1,252$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Medvedev | 35c | 1,200$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.32 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Minaur | 63c | 1,092$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.35 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Medvedev | 39c | 1,077$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.92 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Medvedev | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Minaur | 42c | 1,021$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Medvedev | 59c | 1,018$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.93 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Minaur | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Medvedev | 61c | 1,000$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.73 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Medvedev | 58c | 966.28$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.05 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Medvedev | 43c | 886.23$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.66 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minaur | 62c | 859.4$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.53 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Minaur | 31c | 833.59$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Minaur | 64c | 789.99$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Medvedev | 56c | 787.69$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.61 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Minaur | 49c | 760.89$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Medvedev | 36c | 699.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.99 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Minaur | 41c | 681.06$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.45 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…074dbacked Minaur | 46c | 645.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Minaur | 41c | 612.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.18 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Minaur | 62c | 585.03$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.72 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Minaur | 50c | 516.44$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.58 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Medvedev | 40c | 506.25$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.25 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Minaur | 60c | 490.25$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.15 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Minaur | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Minaur | 42c | 483.6$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.95 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…a25bbacked Minaur | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Minaur | 32c | 435.94$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Minaur | 38c | 421.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Minaur | 64c | 342.18$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Medvedev | 41c | 307.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…b52cbacked Minaur | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Minaur | 62c | 301.61$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked Medvedev | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Minaur | 38c | 299.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Medvedev | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Medvedev | 74c | 284.16$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Medvedev | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Minaur | 64c | 270$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Minaur | 50c | 269.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Minaur | 62c | 266$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Minaur | 51c | 264.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe58f…a52bbacked Minaur | 32c | 262.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5a00backed Medvedev | 38c | 262.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Medvedev | 54c | 262.14$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Medvedev | 41c | 250$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Minaur | 63c | 250$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Minaur | 39c | 240$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Minaur | 26c | 232$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Medvedev | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…4f3fbacked Medvedev | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Medvedev | 66c | 197.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Minaur | 63c | 187.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Minaur | 59c | 180.77$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -8.8wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Medvedev | 56c | 177.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Medvedev | 37c | 170.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Medvedev | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Medvedev | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Minaur | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Minaur | 38c | 148.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Minaur | 42c | 145.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…5f5ebacked Medvedev | 35c | 145$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Medvedev | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…58bbbacked Medvedev | 38c | 132.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…2d64backed Minaur | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Minaur | 41c | 123.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Minaur | 44c | 113.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Minaur | 10c | 113.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Medvedev | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Medvedev | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…393abacked Medvedev | 40c | 100.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Medvedev | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.