TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7373…074d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rolex Paris Masters: Grigor Dimitrov vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.8
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$140
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+692.1%+$699
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.9
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+400%+$200
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$96.75
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$316.33
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$426.32
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+157.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+354.5%+$709.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.