TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Khachanovof Khachanov, Fonseca
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$698,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$966,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Khachanov58c236,133$136,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,175.867857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Fonseca42c180,273$75,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,700.832142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Fonseca42c40,000$16,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,8001,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Fonseca42c21,475$9,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,019.592259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Khachanov58c12,053$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,052.525448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Fonseca34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40024841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Fonseca38c7,427$2,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.1416644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Khachanov56c6,906$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,071.553857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Khachanov57c6,600$3,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8386549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Khachanov56c5,465$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.8510845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Khachanov56c5,375$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.9366949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Fonseca44c5,358$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.3913959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Fonseca43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fonseca32c3,951$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.248,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Khachanov58c3,871$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.349245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d1…8390backed Fonseca45c3,770$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.01850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Khachanov56c3,521$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.085950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Fonseca35c3,500$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24015436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Khachanov58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.3328952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Khachanov58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.288142%34 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Khachanov56c3,227$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.981,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Fonseca44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Fonseca44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3208530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Fonseca39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.9944360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb351…5fbfbacked Fonseca42c2,900$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2181030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7509…4b9dbacked Fonseca35c2,878$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb6…da3ebacked Khachanov56c2,655$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.22420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed Khachanov56c2,615$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.73785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Khachanov57c2,467$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.0237540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Fonseca44c2,457$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.1465242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fonseca33c2,395$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.0411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Fonseca46c2,050$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9438721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9c…ab80backed Fonseca36c2,009$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.053534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fonseca34c1,916$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.32,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1547…404bbacked Khachanov56c1,893$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58af…2b95backed Fonseca44c1,893$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c8…6719backed Khachanov56c1,849$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9821…1cfbbacked Fonseca44c1,849$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad5b…4c00backed Fonseca44c1,843$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0a…f92dbacked Khachanov56c1,843$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+65.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e39…3122backed Khachanov60c1,677$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d2…2280backed Khachanov58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Fonseca45c1,417$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.523265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Fonseca45c1,373$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62022744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Fonseca47c1,369$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6399961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Fonseca44c1,200$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5236046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Khachanov56c1,188$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.59452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed37…1888backed Khachanov56c1,175$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Fonseca30c1,095$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.7313435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Khachanov54c1,074$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.982646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Fonseca43c1,015$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.13616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7355…9443backed Khachanov53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4702147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf72c…f818backed Fonseca15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa5…d58bbacked Khachanov58c948.92$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.923253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Fonseca44c920$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.817244.8%77 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986a…1af9backed Khachanov68c899.99$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Khachanov59c878.51$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.712,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe66e…abddbacked Khachanov59c800$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.114650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Khachanov55c776.98$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.6457645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfc…4194backed Khachanov52c763.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Khachanov67c759.08$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.839257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Fonseca44c750$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+71%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Khachanov57c705.8$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.811060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdac1…c3e1backed Fonseca21c699.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1496839.7%27 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+2.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Khachanov54c678.96$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.056149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe644…1dffbacked Khachanov59c672.7$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34c7…66a3backed Khachanov76c666.66$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed Fonseca48c618.83$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.045450%27 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Fonseca25c607.58$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8375547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Khachanov60c590.7$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2392245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cdb…529dbacked Fonseca45c569.25$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.362250%11 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee38…7920backed Fonseca39c555$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.451546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5056…e270backed Fonseca43c548.76$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.195761.4%35 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Khachanov58c517.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1832448.1%156 W · 168 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Fonseca45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252520%5 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Fonseca44c496.99$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0422840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Khachanov57c473.45$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.4588446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Khachanov56c461.09$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.166752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Fonseca44c455.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.183228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Fonseca25c455$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8470465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Khachanov56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.438148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Fonseca45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Khachanov72c437.72$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.381,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa97…a25bbacked Khachanov54c437$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57dd…6ab4backed Fonseca25c411.27$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.082123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Khachanov76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7410060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Fonseca47c385.11$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Khachanov55c359.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Khachanov57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.888243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…d09bbacked Fonseca29c350$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5130%0 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x30e1…2300backed Khachanov71c337.56$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.591241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Fonseca45c333.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Khachanov55c329.25$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0873048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed Khachanov57c324.65$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Khachanov63c307.53$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5349749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1240…3a3fbacked Fonseca44c307.23$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24b…261cbacked Khachanov66c303.46$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.461154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Khachanov55c300$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1364955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Fonseca43c299.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12943042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cd…627fbacked Fonseca34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.