TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf72c…f818

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,517Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$857.12
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.41
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,514.43
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$509.99
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
Spread: England (-4.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Spread: England (-3.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$268
France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.37
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+183.8%+$110.09
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$16.2
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$124.25
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$359.99
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.64
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.19
Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$809.99
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.42
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.83
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.18
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$390
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.92
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+263.1%+$1,884
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.58
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+58.7%+$178.47
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$209.99
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$189.74
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$325
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$365
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$202.15
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+203%+$203.03
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-50.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,121.22
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,048Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+157%+$1,645.03
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.79
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,060.18
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,426Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$805.79
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$650.16
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.4
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$628.48
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Lula out before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.47
Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-43.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$85.32
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+120.5%+$135.65
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$247
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,346Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+133.9%+$1,803.49
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$253
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+62.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick12cpaid+492.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+78.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.99
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$141.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$191.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.