South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb5b675f804901d50e922d0b0ab47d8acc3f34a63025cf4bdd621c2257bc35b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 2,309$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.91 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 2,164$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 14c | 1,961$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.81 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 1,957$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.32 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed Yes | 3c | 1,685$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,595$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.94 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Yes | 16c | 1,384$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 80c | 1,361$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.32 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…2dfabacked Yes | 21c | 1,341$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Yes | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Yes | 5c | 1,014$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 22c | 987.9$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 21c | 954.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.37 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 917.74$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 5c | 840.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 5c | 697.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 689.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 567.21$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 563.6$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 78c | 520$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…d937backed Yes | 19c | 506.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…4b59backed Yes | 22c | 482.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 23c | 467.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 6c | 440.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…75bebacked Yes | 22c | 436.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 422.3$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 6c | 417.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes | 4c | 380.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 4c | 338.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 8c | 297.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 7c | 282.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Yes | 20c | 243.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes | 22c | 242$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1e…4086backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 7c | 191.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…4cbcbacked No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Yes | 12c | 181.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 9c | 179.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd089…ea0dbacked Yes | 17c | 179.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Yes | 21c | 152.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 8c | 124.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…b317backed Yes | 23c | 110.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Yes | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 20c | 101.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…25c2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 99.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…e758backed Yes | 16c | 95.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 91.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 20c | 87.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f0backed Yes | 18c | 78.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…35d5backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 20c | 62.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…46b9backed Yes | 22c | 57.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…7281backed Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 36.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 80c | 35.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…33c9backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…7d20backed No | 79c | 16.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 13.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 79c | 13.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 80c | 13.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 79c | 12.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.