South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31cb84733a337d6403b86006cd5d4213aeec4098da6a1accd5b348ed7e896704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 63c | 3,576$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.96 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 31c | 2,233$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 59c | 1,756$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.84 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 1,645$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.64 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked No | 2c | 1,428$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 69c | 1,302$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.37 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 70c | 1,299$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.09 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed No | 3c | 1,125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 69c | 1,012$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.24 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 30c | 965.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.18 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 69c | 884.17$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.14 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 19c | 789$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 773.53$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.8 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 44c | 748.74$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.11 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 666.65$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.75 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 36c | 531$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 509.68$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.68 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +240.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 64c | 462.88$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.45 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes | 8c | 448.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 76c | 417.68$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed No | 70c | 366.09$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 57c | 294.11$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 49c | 280.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 265.9$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.13 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 38c | 263.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Yes | 58c | 260.19$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 71c | 215.23$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 54c | 181.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked Yes | 21c | 167$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.58 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 71c | 147.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yes | 78c | 128.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 42c | 122.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 119.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 109.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 48c | 109.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 52c | 97.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 45c | 97.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…6e46backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 30c | 96.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 74c | 93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1e…f51cbacked No | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked No | 19c | 89.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 21c | 88.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…0720backed No | 19c | 86.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 45c | 81.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 21c | 75.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 57c | 74.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 20c | 71.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 71c | 68.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 49c | 64.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 31c | 60.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 31c | 51.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes | 58c | 51.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 66c | 48.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 50c | 46.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed Yes | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 37c | 42.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Yes | 54c | 32.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 32.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Yes | 48c | 31.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 49c | 30.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 44c | 29.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 70c | 27.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 59c | 26.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 78c | 19.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…10e8backed Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.