TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe43…8f09

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$98.86
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.9
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$773Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$515.08
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.77
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.13
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.81
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.83
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.07
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.94
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.95
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.49
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.32
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.86
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.3
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.05
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.1
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$263.36
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.59
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.04
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$79.81
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3366.7%22 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.94
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.16
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$73.84
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$91.5
Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.66
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$40.3
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.98
Will CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.41
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$61.07
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.06
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.88
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$56.57
Will EC Vitória vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.07
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.22
Will Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.17
Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.64
Will CS Cristal vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$19.31
Will Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.61
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$71.51
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$38
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$73.55
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.48
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$57.03
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$39.38
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$51.01
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.63
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.82
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$68.92
LoL: GTZ Esports vs Francesinhas (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked GTZ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
LoL: GTZ Esports vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$42.87
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$83.25
LoL: RAYN Clocks vs Arneb (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonbacked RAYN Clocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.64
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.82
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.34
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.7
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.4
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.81
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.1
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$81.85
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Solary (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$40.08
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs FN Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.06
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37%+$75.8
LoL: Joblife vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$118.8
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$45.78
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.49
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.52
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.95
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$55.99
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.21
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.37
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.71
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$55.15
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$27.49
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$110
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$29.25
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.66
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$83
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$54.79
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$52.14
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$148.88
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$112.08
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick75cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.6
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$61.47
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$73.76
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$8.18
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.9
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$55.82
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$79.21
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.98
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$43.08
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$106.27
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$19.22
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$62.58
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$240.09
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick73cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$109.55
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.79
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.74
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$75.74
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.53
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.4
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$79.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$93.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.35
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$114.01
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$201.55
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.16
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$92.94
Valorant: TEC Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$106.43
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.14
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.39
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$2.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.